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Back to Players

Should I start or sit Aaron Nola today?

Aaron Nola
#27 Aaron Nola
Team: Philadelphia Phillies
Position: P
Profile: Aligned
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

He’s had solid performance, but, even at the Good level, his peak performance hasn’t quite aligned with standard fantasy roster thresholds for pitching.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.16 vs NYM

ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster

This arm, Aaron, is in a Fair performance window and historically, has shown ineffective performances in the past. With an Aligned profile, he will likely not have a good result, if asked to pitch today.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 4.36 vs NYM

ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster

There’s some stability in his production, yet his Good-tier starts haven’t historically delivered roster-worthy fantasy value.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A vs LAD

ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster

Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/-
Excellent 11 8 1 0 64.0 54 19 19 5 15 73 10.3 2.67 1.08 0.229 +31.17%
Good 71 24 21 0 430.0 386 194 183 56 96 458 9.6 3.83 1.12 0.237 +1.08%
Fair 74 19 31 0 422.1 413 247 237 77 101 469 10.0 5.05 1.22 0.250 -18.98%
Suboptimal 10 3 3 0 59.2 60 31 31 10 14 62 9.4 4.68 1.24 0.261 -15.10%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 20 3 7 0 103.0 114 67 65 23 35 108 9.4 5.68 1.45 0.278 2.46
2025 17 5 10 0 94.1 99 65 63 18 28 97 9.3 6.01 1.35 0.267 2.37
2024 33 14 8 0 199.1 189 84 79 30 50 197 8.9 3.57 1.20 0.247 3.74
2023 32 12 9 0 193.2 178 105 96 32 45 202 9.4 4.46 1.15 0.240 3.35
2022 32 11 13 0 205.0 168 75 74 19 29 235 10.3 3.25 0.96 0.219 4.49
2021 32 9 9 0 180.2 165 95 93 26 39 223 11.1 4.63 1.13 0.237 3.61

Individual Game Stats

Date Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K Composite Score Output Level Game Rating
Jul 16, 2026 NYM L 6.0 6 3 3 3 4 6 5.22 Good 2.17
Jul 10, 2026 @DET 5.0 3 2 2 1 2 8 2.31 Fair 4.42
Jul 5, 2026 @KC L 7.0 7 3 3 0 0 7 2.22 Fair 3.64
Jun 29, 2026 PIT L 4.1 8 8 7 2 2 5 4.16 Good -1.32
Jun 24, 2026 @WSH 5.0 3 2 2 2 2 5 1.68 Suboptimal 3.54
Jun 18, 2026 NYM 5.0 7 3 2 2 1 6 4.05 Good 3.54
Jun 13, 2026 @MIL 4.2 6 3 3 2 2 3 3.23 Fair 1.65
Jun 7, 2026 CWS 4.1 6 5 5 0 4 4 2.53 Fair -0.29
Jun 2, 2026 SD 5.0 4 2 2 1 0 8 2.25 Fair 4.86
May 26, 2026 @SD W 6.0 3 2 2 1 0 5 3.80 Good 4.91
May 20, 2026 CIN L 5.0 8 4 4 0 0 5 4.75 Good 1.71
May 15, 2026 @PIT 3.2 6 6 6 2 3 2 2.04 Fair -1.44
May 9, 2026 COL 4.2 6 3 3 1 2 4 5.27 Good 1.92
May 4, 2026 @MIA W 6.0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5.85 Excellent 6.42
Apr 26, 2026 @ATL L 4.2 7 6 6 2 3 6 4.14 Good -0.37
Apr 20, 2026 @CHC L 4.1 6 5 5 1 4 5 3.77 Good -0.02
Apr 14, 2026 CHC 5.0 8 3 3 0 2 5 1.47 Suboptimal 1.99
Apr 8, 2026 @SF L 6.0 5 3 3 1 1 3 5.27 Good 2.31
Apr 3, 2026 @COL W 6.1 5 1 1 0 1 9 5.83 Excellent 6.49
Mar 28, 2026 TEX 5.0 5 3 3 2 2 7 2.14 Fair 2.97
Sep 26, 2025 MIN W 8.0 2 1 1 1 0 9 4.00 Good 7.61
Sep 20, 2025 @AZ L 5.1 7 4 4 0 2 4 4.72 Good 1.09
Sep 14, 2025 KC L 6.0 6 6 6 2 1 5 2.58 Fair 0.27
Sep 8, 2025 NYM W 6.0 3 0 0 0 2 7 4.70 Good 6.73
Sep 3, 2025 @MIL L 5.0 6 6 6 1 2 6 3.71 Fair 0.09
Aug 28, 2025 ATL W 6.0 4 4 4 1 3 4 4.72 Good 1.90
Aug 23, 2025 WSH W 6.0 5 3 2 2 1 6 1.96 Fair 4.61
Aug 17, 2025 @WSH 2.1 7 6 6 0 1 4 3.91 Good -0.76
May 14, 2025 STL L 3.2 12 9 9 3 1 2 4.41 Good -3.87
May 9, 2025 @CLE L 5.0 6 4 4 2 2 5 3.52 Fair 1.44
May 3, 2025 AZ W 6.0 4 0 0 0 1 8 6.66 Excellent 7.19
Apr 27, 2025 @CHC 7.0 3 1 1 0 1 6 5.32 Good 5.41
Apr 21, 2025 @NYM L 6.1 7 4 4 2 2 6 2.16 Fair 1.82
Apr 16, 2025 SF L 5.1 9 7 6 0 4 8 4.62 Good -0.24
Apr 11, 2025 @STL L 5.0 5 2 2 0 4 7 5.47 Good 3.26
Apr 5, 2025 LAD L 6.0 7 3 3 2 1 2 2.48 Fair 1.76
Mar 30, 2025 @WSH L 5.1 6 5 5 2 0 8 3.14 Fair 2.05
Sep 29, 2024 @WSH W 5.0 9 3 3 1 0 7 4.26 Good 3.54
Sep 23, 2024 CHC W 6.0 7 2 2 0 2 7 4.24 Good 4.32
Sep 18, 2024 @MIL 7.0 3 1 1 1 1 9 2.81 Fair 6.32
Sep 13, 2024 NYM L 4.1 6 6 6 2 2 7 2.30 Fair 0.24
Sep 7, 2024 @MIA L 4.2 9 5 4 2 2 5 3.24 Fair 0.96
Sep 1, 2024 ATL 6.0 4 2 2 1 1 9 1.69 Suboptimal 5.06
Aug 27, 2024 HOU W 7.0 4 0 0 0 1 6 4.30 Good 6.78
Aug 21, 2024 @ATL 5.1 8 2 2 1 2 5 4.58 Good 2.90
Aug 16, 2024 WSH 6.2 7 0 0 0 2 4 4.55 Good 4.74
Aug 10, 2024 @AZ L 5.0 9 4 3 2 3 4 3.08 Fair 1.30
Aug 5, 2024 @LAD L 6.0 8 4 4 1 0 4 5.09 Good 1.62
Jul 30, 2024 NYY 5.2 7 2 2 1 3 4 2.22 Fair 2.53
Jul 24, 2024 @MIN 6.0 6 1 1 1 3 6 4.79 Good 4.17
Jul 19, 2024 @PIT 5.0 6 4 4 0 1 4 3.71 Fair 1.44
Jul 11, 2024 LAD W 6.0 4 1 1 1 2 9 2.76 Fair 6.27
Jul 5, 2024 @ATL W 6.0 5 3 3 2 0 8 3.31 Fair 4.61
Jun 29, 2024 MIA L 6.2 6 3 3 1 0 9 2.19 Fair 4.30
Jun 24, 2024 @DET W 7.0 6 1 1 0 0 6 2.75 Fair 5.86
Jun 18, 2024 SD 6.0 4 3 3 1 1 6 5.26 Good 3.30
Jun 13, 2024 @BOS L 3.2 11 8 8 1 2 2 1.38 Suboptimal -3.28
Jun 5, 2024 MIL W 7.0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2.48 Fair 7.09
May 31, 2024 STL W 6.1 3 2 2 2 2 6 1.06 Suboptimal 4.68
May 25, 2024 @COL 6.0 5 3 2 0 2 5 4.29 Good 3.45
May 19, 2024 WSH W 7.0 2 3 2 2 3 5 4.01 Good 4.37
May 14, 2024 @NYM W 9.0 4 0 0 0 0 8 3.35 Fair 8.14
May 8, 2024 TOR L 5.2 9 4 4 0 0 7 2.86 Fair 2.25
May 3, 2024 SF 4.0 4 2 2 0 4 4 2.86 Fair 2.36
Apr 26, 2024 @SD W 8.0 7 3 3 1 1 10 5.27 Good 5.01
Apr 21, 2024 CWS W 8.0 4 2 2 1 1 7 2.04 Fair 5.46
Apr 15, 2024 COL 7.1 4 1 1 1 1 9 3.80 Good 6.24
Apr 10, 2024 @STL W 6.0 3 2 2 2 3 3 3.18 Fair 3.45
Apr 5, 2024 @WSH W 5.2 2 0 0 0 4 4 6.51 Excellent 5.29
Mar 30, 2024 ATL L 4.1 11 7 6 2 1 3 4.07 Good -1.19
Sep 26, 2023 PIT 6.2 4 1 1 1 0 8 4.03 Good 6.09
Sep 20, 2023 @ATL 6.0 6 2 2 0 0 8 5.83 Excellent 4.76
Sep 15, 2023 @STL 4.2 7 3 2 0 1 1 4.74 Good 2.06
Sep 9, 2023 MIA 4.1 7 4 4 1 0 6 3.25 Fair 2.01
Sep 2, 2023 @MIL L 4.2 8 7 7 1 3 5 2.23 Fair -1.52
Aug 27, 2023 STL W 7.0 1 0 0 0 1 9 4.04 Good 8.19
Aug 21, 2023 SF W 7.0 7 2 2 2 1 5 1.88 Suboptimal 4.22
Aug 16, 2023 @TOR W 5.0 4 4 4 1 4 7 2.12 Fair 2.27
Aug 10, 2023 WSH 5.0 5 1 1 0 1 6 4.91 Good 4.71
Aug 4, 2023 KC L 5.1 8 5 5 2 1 8 3.22 Fair 1.50
Jul 29, 2023 @PIT L 4.2 9 7 5 1 3 6 3.08 Fair 0.16
Jul 23, 2023 @CLE 7.0 6 3 3 2 0 7 5.20 Good 3.79
Jul 18, 2023 MIL W 7.1 4 3 2 0 0 6 2.36 Fair 5.33
Jul 9, 2023 @MIA L 6.0 8 5 4 3 0 6 3.39 Fair 2.17
Jul 4, 2023 @TB W 7.1 5 1 1 1 1 12 3.84 Good 7.63
Jun 28, 2023 @CHC W 5.0 7 4 4 2 3 4 2.56 Fair 1.30
Jun 22, 2023 ATL 6.0 2 0 0 0 2 5 3.64 Fair 5.66
Jun 15, 2023 @AZ W 6.2 6 4 4 1 1 9 1.96 Fair 3.72
Jun 10, 2023 LAD L 6.1 7 6 6 1 2 7 2.36 Fair 0.46
Jun 5, 2023 DET W 7.0 1 3 0 1 3 12 4.06 Good 8.51
May 31, 2023 @NYM L 6.0 4 4 4 1 3 5 2.40 Fair 1.62
May 25, 2023 @ATL 6.0 8 5 5 3 2 7 3.89 Good 1.07
May 20, 2023 CHC W 7.0 4 2 2 1 1 10 4.07 Good 6.17
May 14, 2023 @COL L 7.0 6 4 4 1 1 4 3.48 Fair 1.80
May 9, 2023 TOR W 6.0 5 2 2 1 2 6 6.54 Excellent 4.32
May 3, 2023 @LAD 6.1 7 4 4 1 0 5 4.08 Good 2.10
Apr 28, 2023 @HOU W 8.0 3 1 1 1 0 6 3.51 Fair 6.52
Apr 21, 2023 COL 7.0 4 3 3 1 3 3 4.69 Good 2.08
Apr 16, 2023 @CIN W 6.0 5 3 2 0 3 4 3.76 Good 3.45
Apr 11, 2023 MIA L 5.2 9 4 4 1 0 6 4.32 Good 1.97
Apr 5, 2023 @NYY L 6.0 7 3 3 0 1 5 6.42 Excellent 2.59
Mar 30, 2023 @TEX 3.2 4 5 5 1 2 4 5.03 Good 0.38
Oct 3, 2022 @HOU W 6.2 2 0 0 0 0 9 4.29 Good 8.28
Sep 28, 2022 @CHC L 6.0 5 4 4 1 0 8 5.32 Good 3.16
Sep 23, 2022 ATL W 6.0 4 0 0 0 3 8 6.36 Excellent 6.57
Sep 17, 2022 @ATL L 7.0 7 4 4 1 2 8 1.07 Suboptimal 2.50
Sep 11, 2022 WSH 2.0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3.47 Fair 4.57
Sep 6, 2022 MIA 6.2 4 1 1 0 2 10 4.43 Good 6.09
Aug 30, 2022 @AZ L 4.0 10 8 8 1 0 5 1.58 Suboptimal -1.88
Aug 25, 2022 CIN W 9.0 5 0 0 0 0 11 4.75 Good 8.94
Aug 19, 2022 NYM L 5.0 8 5 5 1 1 9 2.58 Fair 1.71
Aug 13, 2022 @NYM L 8.0 4 1 1 0 1 8 3.81 Good 6.06
Aug 7, 2022 WSH W 6.0 5 1 1 0 2 5 4.04 Good 4.91
Jul 31, 2022 @PIT W 6.0 6 1 1 0 1 8 2.11 Fair 5.96
Jul 26, 2022 ATL L 6.0 7 5 5 2 1 7 4.28 Good 1.48
Jul 17, 2022 @MIA W 8.1 4 0 0 0 1 10 3.03 Fair 8.32
Jul 11, 2022 @STL L 7.0 7 5 5 1 0 7 4.22 Good 1.94
Jul 6, 2022 WSH L 7.2 7 3 3 0 1 3 5.46 Good 2.34
Jun 30, 2022 ATL W 7.0 7 4 4 2 1 8 2.99 Fair 3.35
Jun 24, 2022 @SD L 7.0 7 1 1 0 2 10 3.23 Fair 5.71
Jun 18, 2022 @WSH 8.0 4 0 0 0 1 8 1.59 Suboptimal 6.99
Jun 13, 2022 MIA 7.0 6 2 2 0 0 6 2.35 Fair 4.37
Jun 8, 2022 @MIL W 8.0 5 0 0 0 0 6 4.40 Good 7.14
Jun 1, 2022 SF W 6.0 5 5 5 1 0 5 1.99 Fair 2.03
May 26, 2022 @ATL W 8.1 5 1 1 0 0 10 4.78 Good 7.53
May 21, 2022 LAD 5.1 5 4 4 2 1 9 3.21 Fair 3.04
May 15, 2022 @LAD 7.0 4 2 2 1 2 8 4.66 Good 4.66
May 10, 2022 @SEA L 5.1 9 5 4 0 1 6 2.78 Fair 1.64
May 5, 2022 NYM 7.0 3 1 1 1 1 7 2.62 Fair 5.71
Apr 29, 2022 @NYM L 6.0 7 3 3 1 0 9 5.49 Good 4.03
Apr 24, 2022 MIL 7.0 1 0 0 0 1 9 2.32 Fair 7.56
Apr 18, 2022 @COL L 5.1 6 2 2 1 1 4 5.18 Good 3.18
Apr 13, 2022 NYM L 3.1 3 3 3 1 3 5 2.20 Fair 2.10
Apr 8, 2022 OAK W 6.0 4 4 4 2 0 7 6.12 Excellent 3.59
Sep 29, 2021 @ATL L 6.0 7 3 3 0 2 4 3.74 Fair 2.03
Sep 23, 2021 PIT W 6.0 6 6 6 2 1 8 5.87 Excellent 1.62
Sep 18, 2021 @NYM W 5.2 4 1 1 0 1 9 2.21 Fair 6.50
Sep 12, 2021 COL 5.1 5 3 3 1 0 10 5.44 Good 4.49
Sep 7, 2021 @MIL L 5.0 6 3 3 0 0 6 2.08 Fair 3.11
Sep 2, 2021 @WSH 4.0 6 6 6 2 2 5 3.41 Fair -0.35
Aug 27, 2021 AZ 5.1 3 2 2 0 0 7 2.45 Fair 4.78
Aug 21, 2021 @SD 8.2 2 3 2 1 2 11 2.23 Fair 6.20
Aug 15, 2021 CIN L 4.1 6 4 4 1 3 4 4.70 Good 0.78
Aug 10, 2021 LAD 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 7 5.38 Good 6.63
Aug 5, 2021 @WSH 5.0 5 5 5 1 3 7 2.02 Fair 1.03
Jul 31, 2021 @PIT 6.0 3 2 2 0 1 5 2.52 Fair 4.03
Jul 25, 2021 ATL W 8.2 4 1 1 1 0 9 3.38 Fair 7.43
Jul 20, 2021 @NYY L 5.1 7 4 4 2 1 5 2.44 Fair 1.64
Jul 6, 2021 @CHC W 6.0 6 4 4 1 1 8 3.81 Good 3.30
Jun 30, 2021 MIA L 4.2 9 7 7 2 0 11 2.89 Fair 0.69
Jun 25, 2021 @NYM 5.1 2 0 0 0 1 12 5.05 Good 8.00
Jun 19, 2021 @SF 2.1 6 6 6 2 3 1 2.77 Fair -1.90
Jun 13, 2021 NYY W 7.2 3 0 0 0 1 9 1.24 Suboptimal 8.01
Jun 8, 2021 ATL 5.0 7 4 4 2 2 7 3.72 Fair 1.85
Jun 1, 2021 @CIN W 5.0 8 3 3 1 2 2 4.92 Good 1.71
May 26, 2021 @MIA 6.0 2 1 1 0 3 6 4.93 Good 4.76
May 21, 2021 BOS L 5.0 7 5 4 1 1 9 3.21 Fair 2.69
May 15, 2021 @TOR L 6.2 9 3 3 1 1 8 2.50 Fair 3.29
May 9, 2021 @ATL L 4.0 5 5 5 2 1 4 1.97 Fair 0.58
May 4, 2021 MIL W 6.0 5 1 1 0 2 10 4.83 Good 6.42
Apr 29, 2021 @STL 6.0 4 3 3 1 1 7 4.10 Good 3.59
Apr 24, 2021 @COL W 7.0 6 4 4 1 1 4 4.78 Good 2.36
Apr 18, 2021 STL W 9.0 2 0 0 0 0 10 5.24 Good 9.10
Apr 13, 2021 @NYM L 5.0 7 3 3 0 1 7 2.63 Fair 2.97
Apr 7, 2021 NYM 4.0 6 1 1 0 2 5 5.57 Excellent 3.79
Apr 1, 2021 ATL 6.2 6 2 2 1 0 6 5.24 Good 4.30