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Back to Players

Is Aaron Nola projected to do well today?

Aaron Nola
#27 Aaron Nola
Team: Philadelphia Phillies
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

In the event Aaron pitches, he lands in a Good window that supports a productive showing. History backs up a steady level of output in these spots. The Variable profile adds some doubt, so manage expectations. He’s still a viable fantasy option.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

If Aaron Nola gets in the game, he is in a Good performance window. Historically, this points to a likely dependable outing. With a Variable profile, there is some fluctuation. Looks OK to use in fantasy.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

Aaron would be in a Good window if he sees action, which has often translated to dependable performances. Nothing flashy, but dependable enough. The Variable profile creates some fluctuation around the final outcome. He’s OK to use in fantasy lineups.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

  • Capacity - Tracks strength, stamina, coordination and overall physical capacity
  • Competitiveness - Tracks awareness, state of mind and emotional temperament
  • Cognitive - Tracks mental alertness, critical thinking and decision-making ability
  • Composite - Reflects overall alignment & coordination of the individual cycles

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/-
Excellent 11 8 1 0 64.0 54 19 19 5 15 73 10.3 2.67 1.08 0.229 +37.10%
Good 75 26 22 0 454.2 405 198 187 59 103 484 9.6 3.70 1.12 0.236 +6.07%
Fair 81 20 34 0 457.0 451 267 257 87 112 501 9.9 5.06 1.23 0.252 -17.52%
Suboptimal 12 4 4 0 72.2 66 33 33 11 20 73 9.0 4.09 1.18 0.244 +0.54%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 33 7 12 0 175.1 177 93 91 37 59 177 9.1 4.67 1.35 0.262 2.96
2025 17 5 10 0 94.1 99 65 63 18 28 97 9.3 6.01 1.35 0.267 2.37
2024 33 14 8 0 199.1 189 84 79 30 50 197 8.9 3.57 1.20 0.247 3.74
2023 32 12 9 0 193.2 178 105 96 32 45 202 9.4 4.46 1.15 0.240 3.35
2022 32 11 13 0 205.0 168 75 74 19 29 235 10.3 3.25 0.96 0.219 4.49
2021 32 9 9 0 180.2 165 95 93 26 39 223 11.1 4.63 1.13 0.237 3.61

Individual Game Stats

Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
Date
Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K
Composite
Score
Output
Level
TriSync
Projection
Game
Rating
Sep 26, 2026 TB L 1.0 4 3 3 1 0 0 3.69 Fair 2.62 0.98
Sep 23, 2026 MIL L 6.0 4 4 4 2 1 8 3.61 Fair 2.61 3.02
Sep 17, 2026 @NYM W 7.0 3 0 0 0 3 4 1.28 Suboptimal 2.79 5.71
Sep 11, 2026 @ATL 6.1 6 2 2 2 3 3 2.93 Fair 2.44 2.52
Sep 6, 2026 ATL 7.0 4 1 1 0 1 5 4.67 Good 3.17 4.96
Aug 31, 2026 @AZ W 5.0 5 1 1 0 2 4 3.33 Fair 2.37 4.42
Aug 25, 2026 @SEA L 6.0 3 2 2 1 3 7 1.90 Suboptimal 2.49 4.03
Aug 19, 2026 MIA W 7.0 5 1 1 1 0 8 4.91 Good 2.79 6.63
Aug 13, 2026 @MIN W 5.0 5 1 1 1 3 9 4.42 Good 2.57 5.61
Aug 8, 2026 TOR 5.0 6 2 2 1 2 8 2.85 Fair 2.00 3.98
Aug 3, 2026 WSH 6.0 6 3 3 2 2 5 3.47 Fair 2.00 2.45
Jul 28, 2026 @MIA L 5.2 5 1 1 1 3 4 4.46 Good 2.48 3.67
Jul 22, 2026 LAD L 5.1 7 5 5 2 1 4 2.87 Fair 2.04 0.55
Jul 16, 2026 NYM L 6.0 6 3 3 3 4 6 5.22 Good 2.58 2.17
Jul 10, 2026 @DET 5.0 3 2 2 1 2 8 2.31 Fair 1.98 4.42
Jul 5, 2026 @KC L 7.0 7 3 3 0 0 7 2.22 Fair 1.94 3.64
Jun 29, 2026 PIT L 4.1 8 8 7 2 2 5 4.16 Good 2.66 -1.32
Jun 24, 2026 @WSH 5.0 3 2 2 2 2 5 1.68 Suboptimal 2.10 3.54
Jun 18, 2026 NYM 5.0 7 3 2 2 1 6 4.05 Good 2.57 3.54
Jun 13, 2026 @MIL 4.2 6 3 3 2 2 3 3.23 Fair 2.03 1.65
Jun 7, 2026 CWS 4.1 6 5 5 0 4 4 2.53 Fair 2.18 -0.29
Jun 2, 2026 SD 5.0 4 2 2 1 0 8 2.25 Fair 2.06 4.86
May 26, 2026 @SD W 6.0 3 2 2 1 0 5 3.80 Good 2.49 4.91
May 20, 2026 CIN L 5.0 8 4 4 0 0 5 4.75 Good 2.55 1.71
May 15, 2026 @PIT 3.2 6 6 6 2 3 2 2.04 Fair 2.23 -1.44
May 9, 2026 COL 4.2 6 3 3 1 2 4 5.27 Good 2.39 1.92
May 4, 2026 @MIA W 6.0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5.85 Excellent 2.54 6.42
Apr 26, 2026 @ATL L 4.2 7 6 6 2 3 6 4.14 Good 2.84 -0.37
Apr 20, 2026 @CHC L 4.1 6 5 5 1 4 5 3.77 Good 3.00 -0.02
Apr 14, 2026 CHC 5.0 8 3 3 0 2 5 1.47 Suboptimal 2.29 1.99
Apr 8, 2026 @SF L 6.0 5 3 3 1 1 3 5.27 Good 2.93 2.31
Apr 3, 2026 @COL W 6.1 5 1 1 0 1 9 5.83 Excellent 2.87 6.49
Mar 28, 2026 TEX 5.0 5 3 3 2 2 7 2.14 Fair 1.96 2.97
Sep 26, 2025 MIN W 8.0 2 1 1 1 0 9 4.00 Good 2.28 7.61
Sep 20, 2025 @AZ L 5.1 7 4 4 0 2 4 4.72 Good 2.51 1.09
Sep 14, 2025 KC L 6.0 6 6 6 2 1 5 2.58 Fair 2.24 0.27
Sep 8, 2025 NYM W 6.0 3 0 0 0 2 7 4.70 Good 2.46 6.73
Sep 3, 2025 @MIL L 5.0 6 6 6 1 2 6 3.71 Fair 1.99 0.09
Aug 28, 2025 ATL W 6.0 4 4 4 1 3 4 4.72 Good 2.73 1.90
Aug 23, 2025 WSH W 6.0 5 3 2 2 1 6 1.96 Fair 2.24 4.61
Aug 17, 2025 @WSH 2.1 7 6 6 0 1 4 3.91 Good 3.17 -0.76
May 14, 2025 STL L 3.2 12 9 9 3 1 2 4.41 Good 4.05 -3.87
May 9, 2025 @CLE L 5.0 6 4 4 2 2 5 3.52 Fair 3.08 1.44
May 3, 2025 AZ W 6.0 4 0 0 0 1 8 6.66 Excellent 3.72 7.19
Apr 27, 2025 @CHC 7.0 3 1 1 0 1 6 5.32 Good 3.82 5.41
Apr 21, 2025 @NYM L 6.1 7 4 4 2 2 6 2.16 Fair 3.02 1.82
Apr 16, 2025 SF L 5.1 9 7 6 0 4 8 4.62 Good 4.21 -0.24
Apr 11, 2025 @STL L 5.0 5 2 2 0 4 7 5.47 Good 4.34 3.26
Apr 5, 2025 LAD L 6.0 7 3 3 2 1 2 2.48 Fair 3.31 1.76
Mar 30, 2025 @WSH L 5.1 6 5 5 2 0 8 3.14 Fair 3.24 2.05
Sep 29, 2024 @WSH W 5.0 9 3 3 1 0 7 4.26 Good 4.36 3.54
Sep 23, 2024 CHC W 6.0 7 2 2 0 2 7 4.24 Good 4.43 4.32
Sep 18, 2024 @MIL 7.0 3 1 1 1 1 9 2.81 Fair 3.23 6.32
Sep 13, 2024 NYM L 4.1 6 6 6 2 2 7 2.30 Fair 3.30 0.24
Sep 7, 2024 @MIA L 4.2 9 5 4 2 2 5 3.24 Fair 3.34 0.96
Sep 1, 2024 ATL 6.0 4 2 2 1 1 9 1.69 Suboptimal 2.89 5.06
Aug 27, 2024 HOU W 7.0 4 0 0 0 1 6 4.30 Good 4.08 6.78
Aug 21, 2024 @ATL 5.1 8 2 2 1 2 5 4.58 Good 4.29 2.90
Aug 16, 2024 WSH 6.2 7 0 0 0 2 4 4.55 Good 4.27 4.74
Aug 10, 2024 @AZ L 5.0 9 4 3 2 3 4 3.08 Fair 3.28 1.30
Aug 5, 2024 @LAD L 6.0 8 4 4 1 0 4 5.09 Good 4.47 1.62
Jul 30, 2024 NYY 5.2 7 2 2 1 3 4 2.22 Fair 3.35 2.53
Jul 24, 2024 @MIN 6.0 6 1 1 1 3 6 4.79 Good 4.29 4.17
Jul 19, 2024 @PIT 5.0 6 4 4 0 1 4 3.71 Fair 3.33 1.44
Jul 11, 2024 LAD W 6.0 4 1 1 1 2 9 2.76 Fair 3.26 6.27
Jul 5, 2024 @ATL W 6.0 5 3 3 2 0 8 3.31 Fair 3.17 4.61
Jun 29, 2024 MIA L 6.2 6 3 3 1 0 9 2.19 Fair 3.25 4.30
Jun 24, 2024 @DET W 7.0 6 1 1 0 0 6 2.75 Fair 3.07 5.86
Jun 18, 2024 SD 6.0 4 3 3 1 1 6 5.26 Good 4.32 3.30
Jun 13, 2024 @BOS L 3.2 11 8 8 1 2 2 1.38 Suboptimal 4.14 -3.28
Jun 5, 2024 MIL W 7.0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2.48 Fair 3.07 7.09
May 31, 2024 STL W 6.1 3 2 2 2 2 6 1.06 Suboptimal 3.94 4.68
May 25, 2024 @COL 6.0 5 3 2 0 2 5 4.29 Good 4.43 3.45
May 19, 2024 WSH W 7.0 2 3 2 2 3 5 4.01 Good 4.40 4.37
May 14, 2024 @NYM W 9.0 4 0 0 0 0 8 3.35 Fair 2.89 8.14
May 8, 2024 TOR L 5.2 9 4 4 0 0 7 2.86 Fair 2.91 2.25
May 3, 2024 SF 4.0 4 2 2 0 4 4 2.86 Fair 2.96 2.36
Apr 26, 2024 @SD W 8.0 7 3 3 1 1 10 5.27 Good 4.28 5.01
Apr 21, 2024 CWS W 8.0 4 2 2 1 1 7 2.04 Fair 2.86 5.46
Apr 15, 2024 COL 7.1 4 1 1 1 1 9 3.80 Good 4.01 6.24
Apr 10, 2024 @STL W 6.0 3 2 2 2 3 3 3.18 Fair 2.71 3.45
Apr 5, 2024 @WSH W 5.2 2 0 0 0 4 4 6.51 Excellent 3.44 5.29
Mar 30, 2024 ATL L 4.1 11 7 6 2 1 3 4.07 Good 4.16 -1.19
Sep 26, 2023 PIT 6.2 4 1 1 1 0 8 4.03 Good 4.10 6.09
Sep 20, 2023 @ATL 6.0 6 2 2 0 0 8 5.83 Excellent 3.42 4.76
Sep 15, 2023 @STL 4.2 7 3 2 0 1 1 4.74 Good 4.24 2.06
Sep 9, 2023 MIA 4.1 7 4 4 1 0 6 3.25 Fair 2.88 2.01
Sep 2, 2023 @MIL L 4.2 8 7 7 1 3 5 2.23 Fair 3.13 -1.52
Aug 27, 2023 STL W 7.0 1 0 0 0 1 9 4.04 Good 4.10 8.19
Aug 21, 2023 SF W 7.0 7 2 2 2 1 5 1.88 Suboptimal 3.55 4.22
Aug 16, 2023 @TOR W 5.0 4 4 4 1 4 7 2.12 Fair 2.93 2.27
Aug 10, 2023 WSH 5.0 5 1 1 0 1 6 4.91 Good 4.11 4.71
Aug 4, 2023 KC L 5.1 8 5 5 2 1 8 3.22 Fair 3.08 1.50
Jul 29, 2023 @PIT L 4.2 9 7 5 1 3 6 3.08 Fair 3.29 0.16
Jul 23, 2023 @CLE 7.0 6 3 3 2 0 7 5.20 Good 4.35 3.79
Jul 18, 2023 MIL W 7.1 4 3 2 0 0 6 2.36 Fair 3.15 5.33
Jul 9, 2023 @MIA L 6.0 8 5 4 3 0 6 3.39 Fair 3.28 2.17
Jul 4, 2023 @TB W 7.1 5 1 1 1 1 12 3.84 Good 4.18 7.63
Jun 28, 2023 @CHC W 5.0 7 4 4 2 3 4 2.56 Fair 3.25 1.30
Jun 22, 2023 ATL 6.0 2 0 0 0 2 5 3.64 Fair 3.19 5.66
Jun 15, 2023 @AZ W 6.2 6 4 4 1 1 9 1.96 Fair 3.26 3.72
Jun 10, 2023 LAD L 6.1 7 6 6 1 2 7 2.36 Fair 3.44 0.46
Jun 5, 2023 DET W 7.0 1 3 0 1 3 12 4.06 Good 4.31 8.51
May 31, 2023 @NYM L 6.0 4 4 4 1 3 5 2.40 Fair 3.47 1.62
May 25, 2023 @ATL 6.0 8 5 5 3 2 7 3.89 Good 4.63 1.07
May 20, 2023 CHC W 7.0 4 2 2 1 1 10 4.07 Good 4.46 6.17
May 14, 2023 @COL L 7.0 6 4 4 1 1 4 3.48 Fair 3.68 1.80
May 9, 2023 TOR W 6.0 5 2 2 1 2 6 6.54 Excellent 3.66 4.32
May 3, 2023 @LAD 6.1 7 4 4 1 0 5 4.08 Good 4.66 2.10
Apr 28, 2023 @HOU W 8.0 3 1 1 1 0 6 3.51 Fair 3.53 6.52
Apr 21, 2023 COL 7.0 4 3 3 1 3 3 4.69 Good 4.84 2.08
Apr 16, 2023 @CIN W 6.0 5 3 2 0 3 4 3.76 Good 4.87 3.45
Apr 11, 2023 MIA L 5.2 9 4 4 1 0 6 4.32 Good 4.98 1.97
Apr 5, 2023 @NYY L 6.0 7 3 3 0 1 5 6.42 Excellent 4.11 2.59
Mar 30, 2023 @TEX 3.2 4 5 5 1 2 4 5.03 Good 5.33 0.38
Oct 3, 2022 @HOU W 6.2 2 0 0 0 0 9 4.29 Good 5.14 8.28
Sep 28, 2022 @CHC L 6.0 5 4 4 1 0 8 5.32 Good 5.16 3.16
Sep 23, 2022 ATL W 6.0 4 0 0 0 3 8 6.36 Excellent 3.23 6.57
Sep 17, 2022 @ATL L 7.0 7 4 4 1 2 8 1.07 Suboptimal 4.85 2.50
Sep 11, 2022 WSH 2.0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3.47 Fair 3.65 4.57
Sep 6, 2022 MIA 6.2 4 1 1 0 2 10 4.43 Good 5.01 6.09
Aug 30, 2022 @AZ L 4.0 10 8 8 1 0 5 1.58 Suboptimal 8.40 -1.88
Aug 25, 2022 CIN W 9.0 5 0 0 0 0 11 4.75 Good 4.93 8.94
Aug 19, 2022 NYM L 5.0 8 5 5 1 1 9 2.58 Fair 3.87 1.71
Aug 13, 2022 @NYM L 8.0 4 1 1 0 1 8 3.81 Good 4.83 6.06
Aug 7, 2022 WSH W 6.0 5 1 1 0 2 5 4.04 Good 4.89 4.91
Jul 31, 2022 @PIT W 6.0 6 1 1 0 1 8 2.11 Fair 3.57 5.96
Jul 26, 2022 ATL L 6.0 7 5 5 2 1 7 4.28 Good 4.97 1.48
Jul 17, 2022 @MIA W 8.1 4 0 0 0 1 10 3.03 Fair 3.37 8.32
Jul 11, 2022 @STL L 7.0 7 5 5 1 0 7 4.22 Good 5.10 1.94
Jul 6, 2022 WSH L 7.2 7 3 3 0 1 3 5.46 Good 5.29 2.34
Jun 30, 2022 ATL W 7.0 7 4 4 2 1 8 2.99 Fair 3.35 3.35
Jun 24, 2022 @SD L 7.0 7 1 1 0 2 10 3.23 Fair 3.32 5.71
Jun 18, 2022 @WSH 8.0 4 0 0 0 1 8 1.59 Suboptimal 8.35 6.99
Jun 13, 2022 MIA 7.0 6 2 2 0 0 6 2.35 Fair 3.15 4.37
Jun 8, 2022 @MIL W 8.0 5 0 0 0 0 6 4.40 Good 4.77 7.14
Jun 1, 2022 SF W 6.0 5 5 5 1 0 5 1.99 Fair 3.06 2.03
May 26, 2022 @ATL W 8.1 5 1 1 0 0 10 4.78 Good 4.47 7.53
May 21, 2022 LAD 5.1 5 4 4 2 1 9 3.21 Fair 3.00 3.04
May 15, 2022 @LAD 7.0 4 2 2 1 2 8 4.66 Good 4.40 4.66
May 10, 2022 @SEA L 5.1 9 5 4 0 1 6 2.78 Fair 3.08 1.64
May 5, 2022 NYM 7.0 3 1 1 1 1 7 2.62 Fair 2.82 5.71
Apr 29, 2022 @NYM L 6.0 7 3 3 1 0 9 5.49 Good 4.41 4.03
Apr 24, 2022 MIL 7.0 1 0 0 0 1 9 2.32 Fair 2.52 7.56
Apr 18, 2022 @COL L 5.1 6 2 2 1 1 4 5.18 Good 4.55 3.18
Apr 13, 2022 NYM L 3.1 3 3 3 1 3 5 2.20 Fair 2.72 2.10
Apr 8, 2022 OAK W 6.0 4 4 4 2 0 7 6.12 Excellent 2.68 3.59
Sep 29, 2021 @ATL L 6.0 7 3 3 0 2 4 3.74 Fair 2.78 2.03
Sep 23, 2021 PIT W 6.0 6 6 6 2 1 8 5.87 Excellent 3.79 1.62
Sep 18, 2021 @NYM W 5.2 4 1 1 0 1 9 2.21 Fair 2.54 6.50
Sep 12, 2021 COL 5.1 5 3 3 1 0 10 5.44 Good 4.63 4.49
Sep 7, 2021 @MIL L 5.0 6 3 3 0 0 6 2.08 Fair 2.49 3.11
Sep 2, 2021 @WSH 4.0 6 6 6 2 2 5 3.41 Fair 2.71 -0.35
Aug 27, 2021 AZ 5.1 3 2 2 0 0 7 2.45 Fair 2.54 4.78
Aug 21, 2021 @SD 8.2 2 3 2 1 2 11 2.23 Fair 2.21 6.20
Aug 15, 2021 CIN L 4.1 6 4 4 1 3 4 4.70 Good 5.02 0.78
Aug 10, 2021 LAD 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 7 5.38 Good 4.84 6.63
Aug 5, 2021 @WSH 5.0 5 5 5 1 3 7 2.02 Fair 2.33 1.03
Jul 31, 2021 @PIT 6.0 3 2 2 0 1 5 2.52 Fair 2.14 4.03
Jul 25, 2021 ATL W 8.2 4 1 1 1 0 9 3.38 Fair 1.47 7.43
Jul 20, 2021 @NYY L 5.1 7 4 4 2 1 5 2.44 Fair 1.45 1.64
Jul 6, 2021 @CHC W 6.0 6 4 4 1 1 8 3.81 Good 5.03 3.30
Jun 30, 2021 MIA L 4.2 9 7 7 2 0 11 2.89 Fair 1.58 0.69
Jun 25, 2021 @NYM 5.1 2 0 0 0 1 12 5.05 Good 4.61 8.00
Jun 19, 2021 @SF 2.1 6 6 6 2 3 1 2.77 Fair 2.27 -1.90
Jun 8, 2021 ATL 5.0 7 4 4 2 2 7 3.72 Fair 2.38 1.85
Jun 1, 2021 @CIN W 5.0 8 3 3 1 2 2 4.92 Good 5.09 1.71
May 26, 2021 @MIA 6.0 2 1 1 0 3 6 4.93 Good 5.15 4.76
May 21, 2021 BOS L 5.0 7 5 4 1 1 9 3.21 Fair 2.28 2.69
May 15, 2021 @TOR L 6.2 9 3 3 1 1 8 2.50 Fair 1.77 3.29
May 9, 2021 @ATL L 4.0 5 5 5 2 1 4 1.97 Fair 2.97 0.58
May 4, 2021 MIL W 6.0 5 1 1 0 2 10 4.83 Good 4.84 6.42
Apr 29, 2021 @STL 6.0 4 3 3 1 1 7 4.10 Good 5.25 3.59
Apr 24, 2021 @COL W 7.0 6 4 4 1 1 4 4.78 Good 6.36 2.36
Apr 18, 2021 STL W 9.0 2 0 0 0 0 10 5.24 Good 3.87 9.10