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The Good window suggests potential, but Kilian hasn’t shown it in the past. Instead, these situations have often ended in ineffective efforts. Combine that with the volatility tied to a Variable profile, and it’s a risky play. Safer call is to sit.
vs HOU - Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 2.29
On paper, a Good window looks playable for Caleb Kilian, but his past says otherwise. These spots have often led to ordinary outcomes. Add in the ambiguity from a Variable profile, and the floor gets shaky. That’s enough reason to exclude.
@ ATL - Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 5.25
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9.0 | 6.75 | 1.50 | 0.250 | -3.26% |
| Good | 22 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 28.2 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 9.7 | 5.02 | 1.47 | 0.255 | -4.13% |
| Fair | 25 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 30.2 | 32 | 24 | 23 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 9.7 | 6.75 | 1.53 | 0.262 | -7.88% |
| Suboptimal | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11.2 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6.9 | 9.26 | 2.14 | 0.326 | -41.64% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 49 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 47.2 | 43 | 30 | 26 | 6 | 22 | 56 | 10.6 | 4.91 | 1.36 | 0.238 | 3.84 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10.2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5.9 | 4.22 | 1.59 | 0.268 | 2.21 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.1 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8.4 | 16.88 | 2.81 | 0.481 | 1.16 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 7.1 | 10.32 | 2.03 | 0.262 | 0.24 |
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite
Score |
Output
Level |
Game
Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | TOR | W | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Suboptimal | 4.52 | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TOR | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 3.07 | ||
| Aug 5, 2026 | WSH | L | 0.1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Fair | 0.20 | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | WSH | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.52 | ||
| Aug 1, 2026 | @SD | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.52 | ||
| Jul 30, 2026 | @SD | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 4.08 | ||
| Jul 29, 2026 | MIL | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 3.93 | ||
| Jul 24, 2026 | LAA | W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.81 | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | @KC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 4.08 | ||
| Jul 20, 2026 | @KC | L | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 2.94 | |
| Jul 17, 2026 | @SEA | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Jul 10, 2026 | COL | L | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 0.67 | |
| Jul 9, 2026 | COL | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Jul 4, 2026 | @COL | SV | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.08 | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | @AZ | SV | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 5.26 | |
| Jun 28, 2026 | ATL | SV | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Excellent | 3.79 | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | ATH | L | 0.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 0.12 | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | ATH | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 4.52 | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | @ATL | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.59 | ||
| Jun 14, 2026 | CHC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.66 | ||
| Jun 13, 2026 | CHC | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.52 | ||
| Jun 7, 2026 | @CHC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Jun 6, 2026 | @CHC | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 3.93 | ||
| Jun 4, 2026 | @MIL | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.81 | |
| Jun 2, 2026 | @MIL | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Fair | 3.57 | ||
| May 31, 2026 | @COL | W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 4.96 | |
| May 29, 2026 | @COL | L | 0.2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Good | -0.54 | |
| May 27, 2026 | AZ | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.57 | ||
| May 24, 2026 | CWS | SV | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 5.56 | |
| May 19, 2026 | @AZ | L | 1.1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Suboptimal | 2.43 | |
| May 16, 2026 | @ATH | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 3.57 | ||
| May 12, 2026 | @LAD | SV | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 5.03 | |
| May 10, 2026 | PIT | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Good | 3.50 | ||
| May 8, 2026 | PIT | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Excellent | 2.50 | ||
| May 4, 2026 | SD | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Excellent | 4.22 | |
| May 3, 2026 | @TB | L | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 3.50 | |
| Apr 30, 2026 | @PHI | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.71 | ||
| Apr 24, 2026 | MIA | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 3.64 | ||
| Apr 22, 2026 | LAD | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 3.93 | ||
| Apr 18, 2026 | @WSH | W | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 5.16 | |
| Apr 17, 2026 | @WSH | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Good | 4.37 | ||
| Apr 14, 2026 | @CIN | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 3.93 | ||
| Apr 11, 2026 | @BAL | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Good | 3.29 | ||
| Apr 8, 2026 | PHI | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Suboptimal | 4.01 | ||
| Apr 6, 2026 | PHI | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Suboptimal | 4.01 | ||
| Apr 4, 2026 | NYM | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Excellent | 4.37 | ||
| Apr 3, 2026 | NYM | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.24 | ||
| Apr 1, 2026 | @SD | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.79 | ||
| Mar 25, 2026 | NYY | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Sep 29, 2024 | CIN | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 5.01 | ||
| Sep 23, 2024 | @PHI | L | 5.2 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | Suboptimal | -0.58 | |
| Aug 13, 2023 | @TOR | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 1.39 | ||
| Aug 7, 2023 | @NYM | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 4.08 | ||
| Apr 29, 2023 | @MIA | L | 3.1 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | -1.99 | |
| Jun 20, 2022 | @PIT | L | 2.1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | Suboptimal | -0.76 | |
| Jun 15, 2022 | SD | L | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | Fair | -1.50 | |
| Jun 4, 2022 | STL | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 2.97 |
Caleb Kilian entering a Fair window is usually not a great sign. His past tendency in this range points to dull production. With a Variable profile, the doubt surrounding his outcomes only increases the downside. Safer to rest him here.
vs HOU - Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.67