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Is Casey Mize projected to do well today?

Casey Mize
#32 Casey Mize
Team: San Diego Padres
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

In this Good phase, Casey tends to come in slightly below his core output. His Variable profile allows for some fluctuation.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

Mize falls into a Good window, which tends to bring slightly reduced game output. With a Variable profile, there’s a bit more unpredictability baked in. Still, his historical range here sits just under baseline.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

The Fair window sets a lower expectation for Casey if he pitches today. Historically, his tendency has been toward underwhelming outings in these scenarios. The Variable profile adds another layer of instability to the numbers. Unless you have a compelling reason, best to exclude him.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Sit
Bench

Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

  • Capacity - Tracks strength, stamina, coordination and overall physical capacity
  • Competitiveness - Tracks awareness, state of mind and emotional temperament
  • Cognitive - Tracks mental alertness, critical thinking and decision-making ability
  • Composite - Reflects overall alignment & coordination of the individual cycles

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/-
Excellent 9 2 3 0 44.0 37 25 23 6 13 34 7.0 4.70 1.14 0.231 -13.37%
Good 44 12 12 0 228.2 224 105 100 35 55 187 7.4 3.94 1.22 0.256 -1.21%
Fair 45 13 14 0 220.3 234 114 104 30 59 191 7.8 4.24 1.33 0.268 -5.00%
Suboptimal 10 2 3 0 49.1 45 20 19 4 19 37 6.8 3.47 1.30 0.241 -1.79%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 26 6 10 0 131.1 123 69 63 18 38 110 7.5 4.32 1.23 0.247 3.11
2025 28 14 6 0 149.0 153 68 64 21 36 139 8.4 3.87 1.27 0.263 3.53
2024 22 2 6 0 102.1 121 57 51 11 29 78 6.9 4.49 1.47 0.290 2.71
2022 2 0 1 0 10.0 13 6 6 1 2 4 3.6 5.40 1.50 0.302 1.65
2021 30 7 9 0 150.1 130 64 62 24 41 118 7.1 3.71 1.14 0.234 3.34

Individual Game Stats

Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
Date
Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K
Composite
Score
Output
Level
TriSync
Projection
Game
Rating
Sep 25, 2026 AZ L 4.0 7 7 7 3 2 1 7.48 Excellent 3.57 -2.25
Sep 19, 2026 MIA 3.0 5 5 5 1 5 2 1.26 Suboptimal 3.88 -1.16
Sep 14, 2026 @COL W 5.0 8 2 2 0 2 0 3.44 Fair 3.35 1.99
Sep 8, 2026 WSH 5.2 4 3 3 1 1 7 2.76 Fair 3.42 3.53
Sep 2, 2026 @CIN L 4.0 5 4 4 2 1 4 3.77 Good 3.68 1.39
Aug 28, 2026 @TB L 5.0 6 7 2 1 1 1 2.03 Fair 3.60 2.27
Aug 22, 2026 MIN 2.2 4 4 4 3 1 0 4.04 Good 3.68 0.21
Aug 16, 2026 @CLE W 6.0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1.18 Suboptimal 3.71 5.81
Aug 10, 2026 MIL 6.0 5 2 2 1 2 6 6.33 Excellent 3.81 3.74
Aug 5, 2026 @AZ L 3.1 9 8 8 1 3 1 3.38 Fair 3.88 -3.56
Jul 25, 2026 KC 6.0 3 1 1 0 0 3 4.10 Good 3.78 4.61
Jul 19, 2026 @LAA 3.1 5 1 1 0 1 5 3.59 Fair 3.66 4.10
Jul 11, 2026 PHI L 5.2 5 4 3 0 2 5 3.42 Fair 3.56 2.53
Jul 5, 2026 @TEX W 6.2 5 2 2 1 2 4 2.43 Fair 3.62 3.86
Jun 29, 2026 @NYY W 7.0 1 0 0 0 0 10 4.15 Good 3.31 8.83
Jun 23, 2026 NYY L 5.2 8 4 4 1 1 6 3.53 Fair 3.58 1.83
Jun 17, 2026 @HOU L 4.2 6 3 3 1 1 3 2.22 Fair 3.75 1.92
May 27, 2026 LAA 4.0 2 0 0 0 1 6 5.16 Good 3.23 5.86
May 21, 2026 CLE L 6.2 4 2 2 0 0 4 1.89 Suboptimal 3.49 4.01
May 16, 2026 TOR 6.0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3.61 Fair 3.39 5.96
Apr 28, 2026 @ATL L 2.1 3 2 2 0 1 3 4.01 Good 3.28 2.75
Apr 22, 2026 MIL W 6.0 3 1 1 0 3 7 3.56 Fair 3.39 5.51
Apr 17, 2026 @BOS 6.2 3 0 0 0 1 7 1.86 Suboptimal 2.83 6.55
Apr 11, 2026 MIA W 5.2 6 1 1 0 1 5 3.46 Fair 3.17 4.99
Apr 6, 2026 @MIN L 4.1 7 5 5 1 3 4 4.92 Good 3.37 -0.16
Mar 31, 2026 @AZ 6.0 4 1 1 1 2 9 3.95 Good 3.33 5.66
Sep 26, 2025 @BOS 6.1 6 2 2 0 0 8 2.65 Fair 3.25 4.83
Sep 21, 2025 ATL L 5.2 5 3 3 1 3 5 1.05 Suboptimal 2.99 2.25
Sep 16, 2025 CLE 5.1 7 3 3 1 1 8 4.07 Good 3.38 3.32
Sep 9, 2025 @NYY W 6.0 4 2 2 2 0 8 2.96 Fair 3.20 5.66
Sep 3, 2025 NYM W 5.0 5 1 1 0 0 3 3.89 Good 3.15 4.71
Aug 27, 2025 @ATH L 3.1 7 5 5 1 2 4 2.05 Fair 3.28 -0.07
Aug 22, 2025 KC 5.2 9 3 3 0 1 0 5.07 Good 3.35 0.87
Aug 16, 2025 @MIN W 6.1 4 4 4 0 1 10 4.89 Good 3.29 4.24
Aug 10, 2025 LAA W 5.0 3 2 2 1 2 5 6.33 Excellent 3.45 4.12
Aug 4, 2025 MIN W 6.0 4 3 3 3 0 4 4.11 Good 3.25 3.59
Jul 29, 2025 AZ 1.2 3 2 1 0 3 2 1.94 Suboptimal 3.28 2.62
Jul 22, 2025 @PIT L 4.0 10 5 4 0 1 5 5.22 Good 3.44 0.98
Jul 12, 2025 SEA L 3.0 6 6 6 1 1 4 3.49 Fair 3.72 -0.52
Jul 5, 2025 @CLE W 7.0 4 0 0 0 2 4 1.83 Suboptimal 2.41 5.86
Jun 28, 2025 MIN W 6.2 5 2 2 1 1 5 5.11 Good 3.50 4.45
Jun 22, 2025 @TB 5.0 6 1 1 1 0 5 1.93 Suboptimal 1.06 4.57
Jun 17, 2025 PIT W 6.0 5 3 2 0 0 4 4.21 Good 3.38 4.32
Jun 11, 2025 @BAL L 5.1 8 2 2 1 2 7 4.08 Good 3.41 3.47
Jun 5, 2025 @CWS 4.2 6 2 2 0 4 3 2.21 Fair 3.64 1.92
May 30, 2025 @KC 3.1 8 3 3 1 2 4 4.66 Good 3.44 1.41
May 24, 2025 CLE 5.0 4 2 1 1 1 6 2.61 Fair 3.39 4.86
May 8, 2025 @COL W 6.0 3 1 1 0 0 8 2.46 Fair 2.97 6.73
May 1, 2025 @LAA W 7.0 7 4 4 2 2 4 3.88 Good 2.96 1.94
Apr 26, 2025 BAL W 5.1 8 1 1 1 0 5 3.63 Fair 2.77 4.93
Apr 19, 2025 KC W 7.0 4 1 1 1 1 3 2.50 Fair 2.71 4.96
Apr 13, 2025 @MIN L 5.2 7 4 4 2 0 3 3.47 Fair 2.89 1.42
Apr 7, 2025 NYY W 6.0 4 1 1 0 3 6 4.61 Good 2.86 5.06
Apr 1, 2025 @SEA W 5.2 1 0 0 0 3 6 3.60 Fair 2.49 6.35
Sep 29, 2024 CWS 1.1 2 2 2 0 2 0 3.02 Fair 2.58 1.59
Sep 26, 2024 TB 2.0 3 1 1 0 0 4 4.82 Good 2.64 4.12
Sep 17, 2024 @KC 4.1 6 1 1 0 4 3 3.75 Good 2.65 2.71
Sep 11, 2024 COL 4.2 6 4 4 1 0 7 7.45 Excellent 2.92 2.48
Sep 5, 2024 @SD 5.1 6 3 3 2 1 2 4.83 Good 2.75 1.78
Aug 30, 2024 BOS 6.0 5 4 3 1 1 4 5.44 Good 2.77 2.59
Jun 30, 2024 @LAA W 5.1 3 0 0 0 2 2 4.22 Good 2.55 5.08
Jun 24, 2024 PHI L 4.1 9 4 3 1 0 10 3.09 Fair 2.34 3.71
Jun 18, 2024 @ATL L 4.0 5 2 2 0 0 3 4.24 Good 2.43 3.07
Jun 13, 2024 WSH 6.0 4 1 1 0 1 4 4.41 Good 2.21 4.47
Jun 8, 2024 MIL L 5.1 8 5 3 0 2 1 5.56 Excellent 3.12 0.96
Jun 2, 2024 @BOS 4.0 5 3 2 0 4 4 4.94 Good 2.37 2.22
May 26, 2024 TOR 4.1 8 3 3 1 2 0 2.84 Fair 2.58 0.51
May 21, 2024 @KC L 1.2 9 6 6 1 0 2 1.88 Suboptimal 3.33 -1.39
May 15, 2024 MIA L 6.0 2 2 2 1 1 6 5.32 Good 2.76 4.47
May 10, 2024 HOU 6.0 5 1 1 1 2 2 3.79 Good 2.66 3.45
May 4, 2024 @NYY L 5.1 9 5 5 1 1 6 2.80 Fair 3.35 0.82
Apr 27, 2024 KC 5.0 6 3 2 0 0 2 3.60 Fair 3.46 2.83
Apr 21, 2024 @MIN W 6.0 5 0 0 0 3 4 2.53 Fair 2.94 5.21
Apr 16, 2024 TEX 6.0 5 2 2 0 0 6 3.75 Good 2.44 4.32
Apr 9, 2024 @PIT 5.0 5 2 2 1 1 2 4.67 Good 2.54 2.69
Apr 4, 2024 @NYM 4.1 5 3 3 0 2 4 3.28 Fair N/A 2.01
Apr 14, 2022 @KC 5.0 6 2 2 0 2 2 5.09 Good 2.75 2.27
Apr 9, 2022 CWS L 5.0 7 4 4 1 0 2 2.78 Fair 3.40 1.03
Sep 29, 2021 @MIN L 4.0 5 3 3 1 0 4 4.84 Good 2.96 2.50
Sep 24, 2021 KC 3.0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3.27 Fair 3.35 4.17
Sep 17, 2021 @TB 3.0 3 1 1 0 1 3 3.66 Fair 3.32 3.74
Sep 11, 2021 TB L 2.0 3 3 3 0 1 2 3.14 Fair 3.48 1.57
Sep 5, 2021 @CIN 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7.47 Excellent 3.96 5.06
Aug 30, 2021 MIN L 6.0 5 3 3 1 1 4 5.15 Good 3.00 2.59
Aug 24, 2021 @STL W 5.0 3 0 0 0 2 2 4.87 Good 2.74 5.01
Aug 17, 2021 LAA 4.0 4 2 2 0 4 4 2.17 Fair 3.59 2.36
Aug 10, 2021 @BAL 4.1 5 4 3 3 1 4 3.22 Fair 3.74 2.29
Aug 4, 2021 BOS L 5.0 7 4 4 3 1 3 2.68 Fair 4.08 1.03
Jul 29, 2021 BAL W 7.0 4 1 0 0 2 2 5.06 Good 2.39 5.26
Jul 24, 2021 @KC 4.2 6 4 4 1 1 6 4.85 Good 2.46 1.92
Jul 19, 2021 TEX 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 5.93 Excellent 3.38 5.11
Jul 7, 2021 @TEX 4.0 4 2 2 2 0 2 2.65 Fair 4.24 2.92
Jul 2, 2021 CWS L 3.0 4 2 2 0 1 4 3.43 Fair 4.45 3.02
Jun 26, 2021 HOU W 6.0 6 1 1 0 2 5 3.83 Good 2.00 4.76
Jun 20, 2021 @LAA 5.0 8 3 3 2 1 4 4.87 Good 2.01 1.99
Jun 15, 2021 @KC W 6.2 7 3 3 0 1 3 1.98 Fair 4.79 2.72
Jun 9, 2021 SEA 6.0 4 3 3 1 2 6 3.43 Fair 5.24 3.02
Jun 3, 2021 @CWS L 7.0 5 3 3 3 0 6 3.91 Good 1.46 3.64
May 28, 2021 NYY 5.0 5 1 1 1 0 7 2.87 Fair 5.22 5.31
May 23, 2021 @KC 6.1 3 1 1 0 1 6 4.60 Good -0.44 5.28
May 17, 2021 @SEA W 7.2 3 1 1 1 3 7 3.68 Fair 4.90 5.84
May 12, 2021 KC W 6.0 3 2 2 0 2 4 5.96 Excellent 2.73 4.03
Apr 23, 2021 KC L 4.2 7 6 6 2 3 1 3.88 Good 0.68 -1.65
Apr 12, 2021 @HOU W 7.0 4 0 0 0 2 5 3.74 Fair 2.91 6.17