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Back to Players

Is Casey Mize projected to do well today?

Casey Mize
#32 Casey Mize
Team: San Diego Padres
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

Casey Mize lands in a Good performance interval. That usually translates to production just under his standard level, with some variability mixed in.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

In a Good cycle, Casey typically delivers a notch below his usual production. His Variable profile adds some swing, but not enough to fully offset the dip.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Start
Possible

Mize sits in a Fair window if he pitches, and that hasn’t translated well in the past. The prevailing tendency here is a projected subpar outing. Add in the variability tied to a Variable profile, and the statistical returns become harder to trust. Lean towards benching him.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Sit
Bench

Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

  • Capacity - Tracks strength, stamina, coordination and overall physical capacity
  • Competitiveness - Tracks awareness, state of mind and emotional temperament
  • Cognitive - Tracks mental alertness, critical thinking and decision-making ability

  • Composite - Reflects overall alignment & coordination of the individual cycles

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/-
Excellent 9 2 3 0 44.0 37 25 23 6 13 34 7.0 4.70 1.14 0.231 -13.37%
Good 44 12 12 0 228.2 224 105 100 35 55 187 7.4 3.94 1.22 0.256 -1.21%
Fair 45 13 14 0 220.3 234 114 104 30 59 191 7.8 4.24 1.33 0.268 -5.00%
Suboptimal 10 2 3 0 49.1 45 20 19 4 19 37 6.8 3.47 1.30 0.241 -1.79%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 26 6 10 0 131.1 123 69 63 18 38 110 7.5 4.32 1.23 0.247 3.11
2025 28 14 6 0 149.0 153 68 64 21 36 139 8.4 3.87 1.27 0.263 3.53
2024 22 2 6 0 102.1 121 57 51 11 29 78 6.9 4.49 1.47 0.290 2.71
2022 2 0 1 0 10.0 13 6 6 1 2 4 3.6 5.40 1.50 0.302 1.65
2021 30 7 9 0 150.1 130 64 62 24 41 118 7.1 3.71 1.14 0.234 3.34

Individual Game Stats

Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
Date
Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K
Composite
Score
Output
Level
TriSync
Projection
Game
Rating
Sep 25, 2026 AZ L 4.0 7 7 7 3 2 1 7.48 Excellent 3.57 -2.25
Sep 19, 2026 MIA 3.0 5 5 5 1 5 2 1.26 Suboptimal 3.88 -1.16
Sep 14, 2026 @COL W 5.0 8 2 2 0 2 0 3.44 Fair 3.35 1.99
Sep 8, 2026 WSH 5.2 4 3 3 1 1 7 2.76 Fair 3.42 3.53
Sep 2, 2026 @CIN L 4.0 5 4 4 2 1 4 3.77 Good 3.68 1.39
Aug 28, 2026 @TB L 5.0 6 7 2 1 1 1 2.03 Fair 3.60 2.27
Aug 22, 2026 MIN 2.2 4 4 4 3 1 0 4.04 Good 3.68 0.21
Aug 16, 2026 @CLE W 6.0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1.18 Suboptimal 3.71 5.81
Aug 10, 2026 MIL 6.0 5 2 2 1 2 6 6.33 Excellent 3.81 3.74
Aug 5, 2026 @AZ L 3.1 9 8 8 1 3 1 3.38 Fair 3.88 -3.56
Jul 25, 2026 KC 6.0 3 1 1 0 0 3 4.10 Good 3.78 4.61
Jul 19, 2026 @LAA 3.1 5 1 1 0 1 5 3.59 Fair 3.66 4.10
Jul 11, 2026 PHI L 5.2 5 4 3 0 2 5 3.42 Fair 3.56 2.53
Jul 5, 2026 @TEX W 6.2 5 2 2 1 2 4 2.43 Fair 3.62 3.86
Jun 29, 2026 @NYY W 7.0 1 0 0 0 0 10 4.15 Good 3.31 8.83
Jun 23, 2026 NYY L 5.2 8 4 4 1 1 6 3.53 Fair 3.58 1.83
Jun 17, 2026 @HOU L 4.2 6 3 3 1 1 3 2.22 Fair 3.75 1.92
May 27, 2026 LAA 4.0 2 0 0 0 1 6 5.16 Good 3.23 5.86
May 21, 2026 CLE L 6.2 4 2 2 0 0 4 1.89 Suboptimal 3.49 4.01
May 16, 2026 TOR 6.0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3.61 Fair 3.39 5.96
Apr 28, 2026 @ATL L 2.1 3 2 2 0 1 3 4.01 Good 3.28 2.75
Apr 22, 2026 MIL W 6.0 3 1 1 0 3 7 3.56 Fair 3.39 5.51
Apr 17, 2026 @BOS 6.2 3 0 0 0 1 7 1.86 Suboptimal 2.83 6.55
Apr 11, 2026 MIA W 5.2 6 1 1 0 1 5 3.46 Fair 3.17 4.99
Apr 6, 2026 @MIN L 4.1 7 5 5 1 3 4 4.92 Good 3.37 -0.16
Mar 31, 2026 @AZ 6.0 4 1 1 1 2 9 3.95 Good 3.33 5.66
Sep 26, 2025 @BOS 6.1 6 2 2 0 0 8 2.65 Fair 3.25 4.83
Sep 21, 2025 ATL L 5.2 5 3 3 1 3 5 1.05 Suboptimal 2.99 2.25
Sep 16, 2025 CLE 5.1 7 3 3 1 1 8 4.07 Good 3.38 3.32
Sep 9, 2025 @NYY W 6.0 4 2 2 2 0 8 2.96 Fair 3.20 5.66
Sep 3, 2025 NYM W 5.0 5 1 1 0 0 3 3.89 Good 3.15 4.71
Aug 27, 2025 @ATH L 3.1 7 5 5 1 2 4 2.05 Fair 3.28 -0.07
Aug 22, 2025 KC 5.2 9 3 3 0 1 0 5.07 Good 3.35 0.87
Aug 16, 2025 @MIN W 6.1 4 4 4 0 1 10 4.89 Good 3.29 4.24
Aug 10, 2025 LAA W 5.0 3 2 2 1 2 5 6.33 Excellent 3.45 4.12
Aug 4, 2025 MIN W 6.0 4 3 3 3 0 4 4.11 Good 3.25 3.59
Jul 29, 2025 AZ 1.2 3 2 1 0 3 2 1.94 Suboptimal 3.28 2.62
Jul 22, 2025 @PIT L 4.0 10 5 4 0 1 5 5.22 Good 3.44 0.98
Jul 12, 2025 SEA L 3.0 6 6 6 1 1 4 3.49 Fair 3.72 -0.52
Jul 5, 2025 @CLE W 7.0 4 0 0 0 2 4 1.83 Suboptimal 2.41 5.86
Jun 28, 2025 MIN W 6.2 5 2 2 1 1 5 5.11 Good 3.50 4.45
Jun 22, 2025 @TB 5.0 6 1 1 1 0 5 1.93 Suboptimal 1.06 4.57
Jun 17, 2025 PIT W 6.0 5 3 2 0 0 4 4.21 Good 3.38 4.32
Jun 11, 2025 @BAL L 5.1 8 2 2 1 2 7 4.08 Good 3.41 3.47
Jun 5, 2025 @CWS 4.2 6 2 2 0 4 3 2.21 Fair 3.64 1.92
May 30, 2025 @KC 3.1 8 3 3 1 2 4 4.66 Good 3.44 1.41
May 24, 2025 CLE 5.0 4 2 1 1 1 6 2.61 Fair 3.39 4.86
May 8, 2025 @COL W 6.0 3 1 1 0 0 8 2.46 Fair 2.97 6.73
May 1, 2025 @LAA W 7.0 7 4 4 2 2 4 3.88 Good 2.96 1.94
Apr 26, 2025 BAL W 5.1 8 1 1 1 0 5 3.63 Fair 2.77 4.93
Apr 19, 2025 KC W 7.0 4 1 1 1 1 3 2.50 Fair 2.71 4.96
Apr 13, 2025 @MIN L 5.2 7 4 4 2 0 3 3.47 Fair 2.89 1.42
Apr 7, 2025 NYY W 6.0 4 1 1 0 3 6 4.61 Good 2.86 5.06
Apr 1, 2025 @SEA W 5.2 1 0 0 0 3 6 3.60 Fair 2.49 6.35
Sep 29, 2024 CWS 1.1 2 2 2 0 2 0 3.02 Fair 2.58 1.59
Sep 26, 2024 TB 2.0 3 1 1 0 0 4 4.82 Good 2.64 4.12
Sep 17, 2024 @KC 4.1 6 1 1 0 4 3 3.75 Good 2.65 2.71
Sep 11, 2024 COL 4.2 6 4 4 1 0 7 7.45 Excellent 2.92 2.48
Sep 5, 2024 @SD 5.1 6 3 3 2 1 2 4.83 Good 2.75 1.78
Aug 30, 2024 BOS 6.0 5 4 3 1 1 4 5.44 Good 2.77 2.59
Jun 30, 2024 @LAA W 5.1 3 0 0 0 2 2 4.22 Good 2.55 5.08
Jun 24, 2024 PHI L 4.1 9 4 3 1 0 10 3.09 Fair 2.34 3.71
Jun 18, 2024 @ATL L 4.0 5 2 2 0 0 3 4.24 Good 2.43 3.07
Jun 13, 2024 WSH 6.0 4 1 1 0 1 4 4.41 Good 2.21 4.47
Jun 8, 2024 MIL L 5.1 8 5 3 0 2 1 5.56 Excellent 3.12 0.96
Jun 2, 2024 @BOS 4.0 5 3 2 0 4 4 4.94 Good 2.37 2.22
May 26, 2024 TOR 4.1 8 3 3 1 2 0 2.84 Fair 2.58 0.51
May 21, 2024 @KC L 1.2 9 6 6 1 0 2 1.88 Suboptimal 3.33 -1.39
May 15, 2024 MIA L 6.0 2 2 2 1 1 6 5.32 Good 2.76 4.47
May 10, 2024 HOU 6.0 5 1 1 1 2 2 3.79 Good 2.66 3.45
May 4, 2024 @NYY L 5.1 9 5 5 1 1 6 2.80 Fair 3.35 0.82
Apr 27, 2024 KC 5.0 6 3 2 0 0 2 3.60 Fair 3.46 2.83
Apr 21, 2024 @MIN W 6.0 5 0 0 0 3 4 2.53 Fair 2.94 5.21
Apr 16, 2024 TEX 6.0 5 2 2 0 0 6 3.75 Good 2.44 4.32
Apr 9, 2024 @PIT 5.0 5 2 2 1 1 2 4.67 Good 2.54 2.69
Apr 4, 2024 @NYM 4.1 5 3 3 0 2 4 3.28 Fair N/A 2.01
Apr 14, 2022 @KC 5.0 6 2 2 0 2 2 5.09 Good 2.75 2.27
Apr 9, 2022 CWS L 5.0 7 4 4 1 0 2 2.78 Fair 3.40 1.03
Sep 29, 2021 @MIN L 4.0 5 3 3 1 0 4 4.84 Good 2.96 2.50
Sep 24, 2021 KC 3.0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3.27 Fair 3.35 4.17
Sep 17, 2021 @TB 3.0 3 1 1 0 1 3 3.66 Fair 3.32 3.74
Sep 11, 2021 TB L 2.0 3 3 3 0 1 2 3.14 Fair 3.48 1.57
Sep 5, 2021 @CIN 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7.47 Excellent 3.96 5.06
Aug 30, 2021 MIN L 6.0 5 3 3 1 1 4 5.15 Good 3.00 2.59
Aug 24, 2021 @STL W 5.0 3 0 0 0 2 2 4.87 Good 2.74 5.01
Aug 17, 2021 LAA 4.0 4 2 2 0 4 4 2.17 Fair 3.59 2.36
Aug 10, 2021 @BAL 4.1 5 4 3 3 1 4 3.22 Fair 3.74 2.29
Aug 4, 2021 BOS L 5.0 7 4 4 3 1 3 2.68 Fair 4.08 1.03
Jul 29, 2021 BAL W 7.0 4 1 0 0 2 2 5.06 Good 2.39 5.26
Jul 24, 2021 @KC 4.2 6 4 4 1 1 6 4.85 Good 2.46 1.92
Jul 19, 2021 TEX 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 5.93 Excellent 3.38 5.11
Jul 7, 2021 @TEX 4.0 4 2 2 2 0 2 2.65 Fair 4.24 2.92
Jul 2, 2021 CWS L 3.0 4 2 2 0 1 4 3.43 Fair 4.45 3.02
Jun 26, 2021 HOU W 6.0 6 1 1 0 2 5 3.83 Good 2.00 4.76
Jun 20, 2021 @LAA 5.0 8 3 3 2 1 4 4.87 Good 2.01 1.99
Jun 15, 2021 @KC W 6.2 7 3 3 0 1 3 1.98 Fair 4.79 2.72
Jun 9, 2021 SEA 6.0 4 3 3 1 2 6 3.43 Fair 5.24 3.02
Jun 3, 2021 @CWS L 7.0 5 3 3 3 0 6 3.91 Good 1.46 3.64
May 28, 2021 NYY 5.0 5 1 1 1 0 7 2.87 Fair 5.22 5.31
May 23, 2021 @KC 6.1 3 1 1 0 1 6 4.60 Good -0.44 5.28
May 17, 2021 @SEA W 7.2 3 1 1 1 3 7 3.68 Fair 4.90 5.84
May 12, 2021 KC W 6.0 3 2 2 0 2 4 5.96 Excellent 2.73 4.03
Apr 23, 2021 KC L 4.2 7 6 6 2 3 1 3.88 Good 0.68 -1.65
Apr 12, 2021 @HOU W 7.0 4 0 0 0 2 5 3.74 Fair 2.91 6.17