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Sports Early access period, all features unlocked with free membership. 🔐
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Back to Players
Should I start or sit Casey Mize today?
#32 Casey Mize
Team: San Diego Padres
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...
📢 TriSync Expert Analysis
ROTO
Start
Possible
Mize sits in a Fair window if he pitches, and that hasn’t translated well in the past. The prevailing inclination here is a projected dull outing. Add in the risk tied to a Variable profile, and the numbers become harder to trust. Lean towards benching him.
Opposing Pitcher: N/A
ROTO
Start
Possible
A Fair window isn’t a great spot for Casey, based on his history. His tendency in these situations has often led to subpar outcomes. With the Variable profile introducing fluctuation, the statistical returns carry risk. It’s probably best to sit unless you have a strong case to play him.
@ SF - Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.50
ROTO
Start
Possible
Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)
- Capacity - Tracks strength, stamina, coordination and overall physical capacity
- Competitiveness - Tracks awareness, state of mind and emotional temperament
- Cognitive - Tracks mental alertness, critical thinking and decision-making ability
- Composite - Reflects overall alignment & coordination of the 3 individual cycles
Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 40.0 | 30 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 7.4 | 3.60 | 1.03 | 0.210 | +5.29% |
| Good | 44 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 228.2 | 224 | 105 | 100 | 35 | 55 | 187 | 7.4 | 3.94 | 1.22 | 0.256 | -3.32% |
| Fair | 44 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 215.3 | 226 | 112 | 102 | 30 | 57 | 191 | 8.0 | 4.25 | 1.31 | 0.266 | -5.96% |
| Suboptimal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 46.1 | 40 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 6.8 | 2.72 | 1.17 | 0.229 | +10.37% |
Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 119.1 | 103 | 55 | 49 | 14 | 29 | 107 | 8.1 | 3.70 | 1.11 | 0.230 | 3.57 |
| 2025 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 149.0 | 153 | 68 | 64 | 21 | 36 | 139 | 8.4 | 3.87 | 1.27 | 0.263 | 3.53 |
| 2024 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 102.1 | 121 | 57 | 51 | 11 | 29 | 78 | 6.9 | 4.49 | 1.47 | 0.290 | 2.71 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10.0 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3.6 | 5.40 | 1.50 | 0.302 | 1.65 |
| 2021 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 150.1 | 130 | 64 | 62 | 24 | 41 | 118 | 7.1 | 3.71 | 1.14 | 0.234 | 3.34 |
Individual Game Stats
Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite
Score |
Output
Level |
Game
Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | WSH | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 3.53 | ||
| Sep 2, 2026 | @CIN | L | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Good | 1.39 | |
| Aug 28, 2026 | @TB | L | 5.0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 2.27 | |
| Aug 22, 2026 | MIN | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Good | 0.21 | ||
| Aug 16, 2026 | @CLE | W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Suboptimal | 5.81 | |
| Aug 10, 2026 | MIL | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Excellent | 3.74 | ||
| Aug 5, 2026 | @AZ | L | 3.1 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | Fair | -3.56 | |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KC | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Good | 4.61 | ||
| Jul 19, 2026 | @LAA | 3.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 4.10 | ||
| Jul 11, 2026 | PHI | L | 5.2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 2.53 | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | @TEX | W | 6.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 3.86 | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | @NYY | W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | Good | 8.83 | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | NYY | L | 5.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 1.83 | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | @HOU | L | 4.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 1.92 | |
| May 27, 2026 | LAA | 4.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Good | 5.86 | ||
| May 21, 2026 | CLE | L | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Suboptimal | 4.01 | |
| May 16, 2026 | TOR | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Fair | 5.96 | ||
| Apr 28, 2026 | @ATL | L | 2.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Good | 2.75 | |
| Apr 22, 2026 | MIL | W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | Fair | 5.51 | |
| Apr 17, 2026 | @BOS | 6.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Suboptimal | 6.55 | ||
| Apr 11, 2026 | MIA | W | 5.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 4.99 | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | @MIN | L | 4.1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Good | -0.16 | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | @AZ | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | Good | 5.66 | ||
| Sep 26, 2025 | @BOS | 6.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Fair | 4.83 | ||
| Sep 21, 2025 | ATL | L | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | Suboptimal | 2.25 | |
| Sep 16, 2025 | CLE | 5.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Good | 3.32 | ||
| Sep 9, 2025 | @NYY | W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Fair | 5.66 | |
| Sep 3, 2025 | NYM | W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Good | 4.71 | |
| Aug 27, 2025 | @ATH | L | 3.1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Fair | -0.07 | |
| Aug 22, 2025 | KC | 5.2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 0.87 | ||
| Aug 16, 2025 | @MIN | W | 6.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | Good | 4.24 | |
| Aug 10, 2025 | LAA | W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Excellent | 4.12 | |
| Aug 4, 2025 | MIN | W | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Good | 3.59 | |
| Jul 29, 2025 | AZ | 1.2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | Suboptimal | 2.62 | ||
| Jul 22, 2025 | @PIT | L | 4.0 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Good | 0.98 | |
| Jul 12, 2025 | SEA | L | 3.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Fair | -0.52 | |
| Jul 5, 2025 | @CLE | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Suboptimal | 5.86 | |
| Jun 28, 2025 | MIN | W | 6.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Good | 4.45 | |
| Jun 22, 2025 | @TB | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Suboptimal | 4.57 | ||
| Jun 17, 2025 | PIT | W | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Good | 4.32 | |
| Jun 11, 2025 | @BAL | L | 5.1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | Good | 3.47 | |
| Jun 5, 2025 | @CWS | 4.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | Fair | 1.92 | ||
| May 30, 2025 | @KC | 3.1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Good | 1.41 | ||
| May 24, 2025 | CLE | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 4.86 | ||
| May 8, 2025 | @COL | W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Fair | 6.73 | |
| May 1, 2025 | @LAA | W | 7.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | Good | 1.94 | |
| Apr 26, 2025 | BAL | W | 5.1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 4.93 | |
| Apr 19, 2025 | KC | W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 4.96 | |
| Apr 13, 2025 | @MIN | L | 5.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 1.42 | |
| Apr 7, 2025 | NYY | W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Good | 5.06 | |
| Apr 1, 2025 | @SEA | W | 5.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Fair | 6.35 | |
| Sep 29, 2024 | CWS | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Fair | 1.59 | ||
| Sep 26, 2024 | TB | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Good | 4.12 | ||
| Sep 17, 2024 | @KC | 4.1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | Good | 2.71 | ||
| Sep 11, 2024 | COL | 4.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Excellent | 2.48 | ||
| Sep 5, 2024 | @SD | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Good | 1.78 | ||
| Aug 30, 2024 | BOS | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Good | 2.59 | ||
| Jun 30, 2024 | @LAA | W | 5.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 5.08 | |
| Jun 24, 2024 | PHI | L | 4.1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | Fair | 3.71 | |
| Jun 18, 2024 | @ATL | L | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Good | 3.07 | |
| Jun 13, 2024 | WSH | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Good | 4.47 | ||
| Jun 8, 2024 | MIL | L | 5.1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Excellent | 0.96 | |
| Jun 2, 2024 | @BOS | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Good | 2.22 | ||
| May 26, 2024 | TOR | 4.1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Fair | 0.51 | ||
| May 21, 2024 | @KC | L | 1.2 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Suboptimal | -1.39 | |
| May 15, 2024 | MIA | L | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 4.47 | |
| May 10, 2024 | HOU | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Good | 3.45 | ||
| May 4, 2024 | @NYY | L | 5.1 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 0.82 | |
| Apr 27, 2024 | KC | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 2.83 | ||
| Apr 21, 2024 | @MIN | W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 5.21 | |
| Apr 16, 2024 | TEX | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Good | 4.32 | ||
| Apr 9, 2024 | @PIT | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Good | 2.69 | ||
| Apr 4, 2024 | @NYM | 4.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 2.01 | ||
| Apr 14, 2022 | @KC | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 2.27 | ||
| Apr 9, 2022 | CWS | L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 1.03 | |
| Sep 29, 2021 | @MIN | L | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Good | 2.50 | |
| Sep 24, 2021 | KC | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 4.17 | ||
| Sep 17, 2021 | @TB | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 3.74 | ||
| Sep 11, 2021 | TB | L | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 1.57 | |
| Sep 5, 2021 | @CIN | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Excellent | 5.06 | ||
| Aug 30, 2021 | MIN | L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Good | 2.59 | |
| Aug 24, 2021 | @STL | W | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 5.01 | |
| Aug 17, 2021 | LAA | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Fair | 2.36 | ||
| Aug 10, 2021 | @BAL | 4.1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 2.29 | ||
| Aug 4, 2021 | BOS | L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 1.03 | |
| Jul 29, 2021 | BAL | W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 5.26 | |
| Jul 24, 2021 | @KC | 4.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 1.92 | ||
| Jul 19, 2021 | TEX | 4.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Excellent | 5.11 | ||
| Jul 7, 2021 | @TEX | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 2.92 | ||
| Jul 2, 2021 | CWS | L | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 3.02 | |
| Jun 26, 2021 | HOU | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 4.76 | |
| Jun 20, 2021 | @LAA | 5.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Good | 1.99 | ||
| Jun 15, 2021 | @KC | W | 6.2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 2.72 | |
| Jun 9, 2021 | SEA | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 3.02 | ||
| Jun 3, 2021 | @CWS | L | 7.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Good | 3.64 | |
| May 28, 2021 | NYY | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 5.31 | ||
| May 23, 2021 | @KC | 6.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Good | 5.28 | ||
| May 17, 2021 | @SEA | W | 7.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | Fair | 5.84 | |
| May 12, 2021 | KC | W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Excellent | 4.03 | |
| May 5, 2021 | @BOS | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | Suboptimal | 3.45 | ||
| Apr 29, 2021 | @CWS | L | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Excellent | 2.74 | |
| Apr 23, 2021 | KC | L | 4.2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Good | -1.65 | |
| Apr 17, 2021 | @OAK | L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Good | 0.76 | |
| Apr 12, 2021 | @HOU | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 6.17 | |
| Apr 6, 2021 | MIN | 4.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 3.64 |
The Fair window sets a lower expectation for Casey Mize if he pitches today. Historically, his propensity has been toward lackluster outings in these conditions. The Variable profile adds another layer of unpredictability to the end results. Unless you have a compelling reason, best to bench him.
vs WSH - Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 1.88