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Early sits in a Fair window if he pitches, and that hasn’t translated well in the past. The prevailing track record here is a projected dull outing. Add in the volatility tied to a Variable profile, and the metrics become harder to trust. Lean towards benching him.
If Early is called on today, he lands in a Fair window that hasn’t been kind to him. His usual inclination in this range leans toward a probable subpar outing. The Variable profile adds another layer of variability to the numbers. Best move is to scratch unless you see a clear edge elsewhere.
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11.3 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 0.231 | +26.55% |
| Good | 16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 87.0 | 74 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 27 | 96 | 9.9 | 2.90 | 1.16 | 0.228 | +6.66% |
| Fair | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18.0 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 7.5 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 0.254 | -34.71% |
| Suboptimal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12.6 | 3.60 | 1.00 | 0.211 | +5.79% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 94.2 | 82 | 35 | 35 | 15 | 34 | 94 | 8.9 | 3.33 | 1.23 | 0.232 | 3.80 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19.1 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 13.5 | 2.33 | 1.09 | 0.230 | 5.12 |
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite
Score |
Output
Level |
TriSync
Projection |
Game
Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | NYM | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.61 | |||
| Jun 25, 2026 | NYY | W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Good | 5.51 | ||
| Jun 20, 2026 | @SEA | W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Good | 5.96 | ||
| Jun 14, 2026 | TEX | L | 4.2 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Good | -1.39 | ||
| Jun 8, 2026 | @TB | L | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | Fair | 2.91 | ||
| Jun 2, 2026 | BAL | L | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | Good | 2.05 | ||
| May 27, 2026 | ATL | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | Good | 6.47 | ||
| May 20, 2026 | @KC | W | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 3.37 | ||
| May 15, 2026 | @ATL | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Good | 4.12 | |||
| May 8, 2026 | TB | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Good | 7.40 | ||
| Apr 26, 2026 | @BAL | W | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Good | 4.30 | ||
| Apr 21, 2026 | NYY | L | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Good | 1.91 | ||
| Apr 15, 2026 | @MIN | W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Good | 5.36 | ||
| Apr 10, 2026 | @STL | 4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 4.00 | |||
| Apr 4, 2026 | SD | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Good | 2.50 | |||
| Mar 29, 2026 | @CIN | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 4.49 | |||
| Sep 21, 2025 | @TB | L | 4.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 3.07 | ||
| Sep 16, 2025 | ATH | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Good | 5.38 |
In a Fair window, Early hasn’t shown much consistency. His historical inclination points toward a likely uninspiring showing more often than not. The Variable profile brings extra instability to how the metrics land. That makes him a likely candidate to scratch.