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A Fair window isnβt a good sign for Grayson, given his underwhelming history in these settings. With an Aligned profile, the end result is likely to follow that script.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.66 vs DET
When Rodriguez is in a Fair range, the results have often been tepid. His Aligned profile suggests that pattern will continue.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.35 vs STL
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12.1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7.3 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.100 | +94.31% |
| Good | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 102.2 | 88 | 46 | 45 | 11 | 33 | 98 | 8.6 | 3.94 | 1.18 | 0.230 | +12.06% |
| Fair | 26 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 131.2 | 145 | 81 | 75 | 19 | 49 | 148 | 10.1 | 5.13 | 1.47 | 0.277 | -6.73% |
| Suboptimal | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27.0 | 38 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 10.0 | 7.00 | 1.78 | 0.339 | -46.13% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 35.0 | 45 | 34 | 32 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 6.9 | 8.23 | 1.77 | 0.317 | 1.18 |
| 2024 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 116.2 | 109 | 52 | 50 | 15 | 36 | 130 | 10.0 | 3.86 | 1.24 | 0.243 | 3.83 |
| 2023 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 121.3 | 121 | 62 | 59 | 16 | 42 | 129 | 9.5 | 4.35 | 1.34 | 0.259 | 3.28 |
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | Composite Score | Output Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | DET | L | 4.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Fair | -0.74 | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | @MIN | W | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 1.78 | |
| Jun 14, 2026 | TB | 2.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Fair | 1.91 | ||
| Jun 8, 2026 | HOU | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 3.47 | ||
| Jun 2, 2026 | COL | L | 3.2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | Fair | -2.06 | |
| May 28, 2026 | @DET | W | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 5.16 | |
| May 22, 2026 | TEX | W | 5.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Suboptimal | 1.97 | |
| May 17, 2026 | LAD | L | 3.2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Fair | -2.06 | |
| Jul 31, 2024 | TOR | W | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | Fair | 3.59 | |
| Jul 26, 2024 | SD | 5.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 2.69 | ||
| Jul 20, 2024 | @TEX | W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | Good | 5.21 | |
| Jul 13, 2024 | NYY | L | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 0.36 | |
| Jul 7, 2024 | @OAK | W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 4.17 | |
| Jul 2, 2024 | @SEA | W | 6.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | Good | 6.65 | |
| Jun 26, 2024 | CLE | W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Good | 4.52 | |
| Jun 21, 2024 | @HOU | L | 5.0 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 8 | Fair | -0.56 | |
| Jun 15, 2024 | PHI | W | 7.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 4.52 | |
| Jun 9, 2024 | @TB | W | 5.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Good | 4.99 | |
| Jun 3, 2024 | @TOR | W | 6.2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Fair | 5.04 | |
| May 28, 2024 | BOS | L | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | Suboptimal | 3.16 | |
| May 23, 2024 | @CWS | W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | Fair | 3.83 | |
| May 18, 2024 | SEA | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | Fair | 6.12 | ||
| Apr 29, 2024 | NYY | W | 5.2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | Good | 4.84 | |
| Apr 23, 2024 | @LAA | L | 4.1 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Fair | -0.93 | |
| Apr 16, 2024 | MIN | W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Fair | 4.17 | |
| Apr 11, 2024 | @BOS | 5.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 3.24 | ||
| Apr 5, 2024 | @PIT | W | 6.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 4.54 | |
| Mar 30, 2024 | LAA | W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Good | 6.57 | |
| Sep 27, 2023 | WSH | W | 5.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 5.29 | |
| Sep 21, 2023 | @CLE | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | Good | 3.54 | ||
| Sep 16, 2023 | TB | W | 8.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Good | 7.45 | |
| Sep 10, 2023 | @BOS | L | 4.1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 3.13 | |
| Sep 4, 2023 | @LAA | W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | Suboptimal | 4.32 | |
| Aug 28, 2023 | CWS | W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Excellent | 7.04 | |
| Aug 22, 2023 | TOR | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Suboptimal | 2.17 | ||
| Aug 14, 2023 | @SD | W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 6.01 | |
| Aug 8, 2023 | HOU | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 3.02 | ||
| Aug 2, 2023 | @TOR | L | 5.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 3.24 | |
| Jul 28, 2023 | NYY | 6.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Excellent | 5.28 | ||
| Jul 22, 2023 | @TB | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 3.96 | ||
| Jul 17, 2023 | LAD | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 1.03 | ||
| May 26, 2023 | TEX | L | 3.1 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Good | -1.99 | |
| May 20, 2023 | @TOR | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 3.83 | ||
| May 15, 2023 | LAA | L | 3.1 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | Suboptimal | -3.09 | |
| May 9, 2023 | TB | W | 5.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 3.38 | |
| May 4, 2023 | @KC | 3.2 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Good | -0.93 | ||
| Apr 29, 2023 | @DET | W | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Fair | 7.61 | |
| Apr 23, 2023 | DET | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Fair | 5.01 | ||
| Apr 16, 2023 | @CWS | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 2.27 | ||
| Apr 11, 2023 | OAK | 4.1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | Good | 0.24 | ||
| Apr 5, 2023 | @TEX | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 3.69 |
Grayson is the probable starter in a Fair performance window. This is signaling a poor end result. With an Aligned profile, his performances tend to follow those cycles closely, thus, increasing the likelihood of a lackluster start.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 4.75 vs DET