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Should I start or sit Justin Topa today?

Justin Topa
#48 Justin Topa
Team: Minnesota Twins
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Level:
TriSync Rating:

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

The Suboptimal window grabs your attention, but the Variable profile adds doubt. This isn’t a spot where the cycle alone gives you a clear solution for this hurler. Check the environment: lineup strength, weather, and venue. That should guide your call to exclude or use him

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Justin Topa enters a Fair window where execution usually dips just a bit. His Variable profile introduces some movement, but the baseline trend remains modest.

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A Fair window puts Justin in a slightly diminished execution range. His Variable tendencies mean outcomes can shift, but historically they hover just below baseline here.

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Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/- 
Excellent 8 0 2 1 7.2 4 3 1 0 4 6 7.0 1.17 1.04 0.143 +3.74%
Good 55 3 3 4 54.1 61 29 25 5 18 48 8.0 4.14 1.45 0.281 +0.25%
Fair 85 2 4 2 81.1 96 57 49 6 25 63 7.0 5.42 1.49 0.295 -1.78%
Suboptimal 18 1 1 2 17.2 17 4 3 1 5 12 6.1 1.53 1.25 0.262 +5.98%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 23 0 1 2 19.0 27 18 17 4 11 12 5.7 8.05 2.00 0.346 3.32
2025 54 1 5 4 60.0 68 32 26 2 18 49 7.3 3.90 1.43 0.281 3.73
2024 3 0 0 0 2.1 1 0 0 0 0 2 7.7 0.00 0.43 0.125 4.18
2023 75 5 4 3 69.0 61 26 20 4 18 61 8.0 2.61 1.14 0.240 3.95
2022 7 0 0 0 7.1 9 6 4 0 4 4 4.9 4.91 1.77 0.290 3.41
2021 4 0 0 0 3.1 12 11 11 2 1 1 2.7 29.70 3.90 0.545 1.33

Individual Game Stats

Date Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K TriSync Rating TriSync Level Game Rating
May 18, 2026 HOU 0.2 3 3 3 0 1 0 2.05 Fair 0.78
May 17, 2026 MIL 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.20 Suboptimal 3.72
May 13, 2026 MIA 1.2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2.28 Fair 4.35
May 6, 2026 @WSH 0.2 4 6 6 1 2 1 4.86 Good -1.69
May 3, 2026 TOR SV 1.0 4 2 2 1 0 0 4.17 Good 2.36
May 2, 2026 TOR 0.2 1 1 1 1 0 1 3.42 Fair 3.29
Apr 30, 2026 TOR 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2.04 Fair 3.79
Apr 26, 2026 @TB 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.22 Fair 4.22
Apr 22, 2026 @NYM 0.1 1 0 0 0 1 0 5.18 Good 3.52
Apr 21, 2026 @NYM 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5.25 Good 4.37
Apr 18, 2026 CIN 0.2 1 1 1 0 0 1 3.16 Fair 3.29
Apr 17, 2026 CIN 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.08 Fair 3.93
Apr 15, 2026 BOS 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5.50 Good 3.79
Apr 12, 2026 @TOR 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.49 Suboptimal 3.93
Apr 10, 2026 @TOR 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3.89 Good 2.92
Apr 8, 2026 DET 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 5.01 Good 3.80
Apr 7, 2026 DET SV 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 0 5.14 Good 4.30
Apr 5, 2026 TB L 0.1 2 3 2 1 1 0 4.66 Good 1.68
Apr 3, 2026 TB 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3.85 Good 4.30
Apr 2, 2026 @KC 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.32 Fair 4.08
Mar 30, 2026 @KC 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.25 Fair 4.30
Mar 28, 2026 @BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.41 Fair 4.37
Mar 26, 2026 @BAL 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3.16 Fair 2.92
Sep 7, 2025 @KC 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1.66 Suboptimal 3.64
Sep 5, 2025 @KC 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.47 Fair 4.08
Sep 3, 2025 CWS L 0.2 2 1 1 0 0 1 3.47 Fair 3.14
Sep 1, 2025 CWS L 1.0 3 2 2 0 0 0 3.92 Good 1.94
Aug 29, 2025 SD 1.0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2.46 Fair 2.64
Aug 26, 2025 @TOR SV 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 1 1.06 Suboptimal 3.79
Aug 22, 2025 @CWS SV 1.2 2 0 0 0 1 0 3.03 Fair 4.20
Aug 20, 2025 ATH 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 1 4.23 Good 3.64
Aug 16, 2025 DET 1.0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3.48 Fair 3.50
Aug 13, 2025 @NYY SV 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5.19 Good 5.01
Aug 10, 2025 KC 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2.97 Fair 4.22
Aug 9, 2025 KC 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 Fair 3.93
Aug 5, 2025 @DET SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6.03 Excellent 4.96
Aug 3, 2025 @CLE 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.59 Fair 4.66
Aug 1, 2025 @CLE 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.57 Good 3.93
Jul 30, 2025 BOS 0.2 1 1 1 0 2 2 5.11 Good 3.00
Jul 28, 2025 BOS 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.08 Good 4.29
Jul 26, 2025 WSH 2.0 2 1 1 1 0 2 1.54 Suboptimal 3.69
Jul 19, 2025 @COL 1.0 3 2 2 0 0 1 4.63 Good 2.22
Jul 18, 2025 @COL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.48 Fair 4.22
Jul 12, 2025 PIT 1.2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4.01 Good 4.64
Jul 10, 2025 CHC 2.0 2 1 1 0 0 1 2.93 Fair 3.40
Jul 6, 2025 TB L 1.0 2 3 1 0 0 0 2.62 Fair 2.92
Jul 3, 2025 @MIA 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 2.34 Fair 4.08
Jun 29, 2025 @DET 2.0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2.90 Fair 4.57
Jun 26, 2025 SEA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.38 Fair 4.08
Jun 22, 2025 MIL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.42 Fair 3.93
Jun 20, 2025 MIL 0.1 4 5 5 0 1 1 2.30 Fair -0.72
Jun 19, 2025 @CIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.58 Fair 4.66
Jun 17, 2025 @CIN 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.92 Good 4.14
Jun 13, 2025 @HOU 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5.36 Good 5.16
Jun 10, 2025 TEX 1.1 4 3 3 1 0 0 4.41 Good 1.05
Jun 6, 2025 TOR 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2.53 Fair 2.92
Jun 3, 2025 @ATH 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.10 Fair 4.22
Jun 2, 2025 @ATH 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1.94 Suboptimal 4.52
May 31, 2025 @SEA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.40 Suboptimal 4.08
May 26, 2025 @TB 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.98 Good 3.85
May 24, 2025 KC 1.0 4 2 2 0 1 1 5.22 Good 1.80
May 18, 2025 @MIL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.66 Suboptimal 4.08
May 17, 2025 @MIL 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 6.59 Excellent 3.93
May 14, 2025 @BAL 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.98 Fair 3.86
May 8, 2025 BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5.18 Good 4.37
May 1, 2025 @CLE L 0.1 2 2 1 0 1 0 1.35 Suboptimal 2.52
Apr 27, 2025 LAA 2.0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4.26 Good 4.57
Apr 25, 2025 LAA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.72 Good 4.37
Apr 23, 2025 CWS W 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.57 Good 4.52
Apr 19, 2025 @ATL 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 1 2.89 Fair 3.07
Apr 14, 2025 NYM L 1.0 2 2 1 0 0 1 6.41 Excellent 3.21
Apr 11, 2025 DET 1.2 2 1 0 0 0 0 2.69 Fair 3.91
Apr 6, 2025 HOU 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.52 Fair 4.37
Apr 5, 2025 HOU 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3.48 Fair 4.52
Mar 31, 2025 @CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1.72 Suboptimal 4.08
Mar 29, 2025 @STL 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.30 Fair 4.30
Mar 27, 2025 @STL 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.72 Fair 3.66
Sep 28, 2024 BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6.57 Excellent 4.08
Sep 26, 2024 MIA 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.29 Fair 4.10
Sep 25, 2024 MIA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.17 Fair 4.37
Sep 30, 2023 TEX 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2.91 Fair 4.52
Sep 27, 2023 HOU 1.2 2 2 2 0 1 0 3.46 Fair 1.92
Sep 26, 2023 HOU 0.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3.90 Good 2.74
Sep 24, 2023 @TEX 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.37 Good 4.22
Sep 23, 2023 @TEX 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.53 Good 4.22
Sep 20, 2023 @OAK SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.17 Good 4.66
Sep 18, 2023 @OAK 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.10 Fair 4.37
Sep 16, 2023 LAD 1.0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2.37 Fair 3.93
Sep 15, 2023 LAD 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.32 Fair 4.37
Sep 13, 2023 LAA 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 2.92 Fair 3.93
Sep 11, 2023 LAA 1.0 1 2 1 1 0 1 4.09 Good 3.35
Sep 9, 2023 @TB 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4.54 Good 4.66
Sep 6, 2023 @CIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.74 Fair 4.08
Sep 5, 2023 @CIN 1.0 2 3 3 1 1 0 2.94 Fair 0.98
Sep 2, 2023 @NYM W 1.1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.64 Suboptimal 4.44
Aug 30, 2023 OAK W 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2.01 Fair 3.50
Aug 27, 2023 KC 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2.43 Fair 4.45
Aug 25, 2023 KC 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.78 Fair 4.37
Aug 23, 2023 @CWS L 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3.86 Good 3.88
Aug 22, 2023 @CWS W 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.44 Good 5.03
Aug 20, 2023 @HOU 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3.50 Fair 3.79
Aug 18, 2023 @HOU 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.56 Fair 4.50
Aug 15, 2023 @KC 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4.28 Good 4.37
Aug 14, 2023 @KC 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.95 Fair 4.66
Aug 13, 2023 BAL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.70 Suboptimal 4.22
Aug 9, 2023 SD 0.1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1.11 Suboptimal 3.52
Aug 6, 2023 @LAA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.11 Good 4.37
Aug 4, 2023 @LAA W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.39 Good 4.66
Aug 2, 2023 BOS 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.16 Fair 3.95
Jul 30, 2023 @AZ 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6.32 Excellent 4.37
Jul 29, 2023 @AZ 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 5.81 Excellent 3.86
Jul 26, 2023 @MIN 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.57 Fair 3.93
Jul 24, 2023 @MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.54 Good 4.37
Jul 22, 2023 TOR SV 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 1 3.50 Fair 3.64
Jul 21, 2023 TOR 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3.53 Fair 4.45
Jul 19, 2023 MIN 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.50 Fair 4.01
Jul 16, 2023 DET 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.29 Good 4.37
Jul 15, 2023 DET 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3.69 Fair 4.96
Jul 8, 2023 @HOU 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.19 Suboptimal 4.08
Jul 6, 2023 @HOU 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.00 Fair 4.08
Jul 5, 2023 @SF 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3.95 Good 4.01
Jul 1, 2023 TB 0.1 2 1 0 0 0 0 4.27 Good 3.66
Jun 27, 2023 WSH 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 7.48 Excellent 4.08
Jun 24, 2023 @BAL L 0.1 1 2 1 1 0 0 2.37 Fair 2.94
Jun 23, 2023 @BAL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.27 Fair 4.22
Jun 18, 2023 CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5.06 Good 4.37
Jun 17, 2023 CWS 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4.69 Good 3.79
Jun 14, 2023 MIA 1.0 3 2 2 0 0 1 3.34 Fair 2.22
Jun 13, 2023 MIA 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3.18 Fair 3.79
Jun 10, 2023 @LAA 1.2 1 0 0 0 1 0 3.31 Fair 3.77
Jun 4, 2023 @TEX 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1.58 Suboptimal 4.08
May 31, 2023 NYY W 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.27 Fair 4.66
May 28, 2023 PIT 0.1 2 2 2 0 0 1 4.48 Good 2.24
May 27, 2023 PIT 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 3 4.34 Good 4.66
May 23, 2023 OAK 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.03 Fair 4.37
May 20, 2023 @ATL 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2.50 Fair 2.92
May 19, 2023 @ATL 0.1 3 3 3 1 0 0 3.27 Fair 1.00
May 13, 2023 @DET 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4.92 Good 4.66
May 12, 2023 @DET 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.39 Good 3.93
May 9, 2023 TEX 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2.39 Fair 3.79
May 7, 2023 HOU SV 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.40 Suboptimal 4.81
May 4, 2023 @OAK 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.16 Suboptimal 4.22
May 2, 2023 @OAK 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2.17 Fair 4.08
Apr 30, 2023 @TOR 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.46 Fair 4.08
Apr 29, 2023 @TOR 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4.31 Good 4.66
Apr 26, 2023 @PHI L 0.0 4 2 2 0 0 0 3.48 Fair 1.62
Apr 25, 2023 @PHI 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.25 Good 4.08
Apr 22, 2023 STL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.70 Fair 4.22
Apr 21, 2023 STL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1.40 Suboptimal 4.66
Apr 18, 2023 MIL L 1.0 0 1 0 0 2 1 5.56 Excellent 3.79
Apr 16, 2023 COL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.49 Fair 4.22
Apr 14, 2023 COL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.73 Good 4.22
Apr 12, 2023 @CHC 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.50 Fair 4.37
Apr 10, 2023 @CHC 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.85 Good 4.22
Apr 9, 2023 @CLE 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 1 4.07 Good 3.79
Oct 2, 2022 MIA 0.2 2 2 2 0 0 0 2.00 Fair 2.02
Sep 29, 2022 MIA 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.10 Good 4.14
Sep 19, 2022 NYM 1.0 2 2 2 0 2 1 2.70 Fair 1.80
Sep 18, 2022 NYY 0.1 0 2 0 0 1 0 2.97 Fair 3.66
Sep 16, 2022 NYY 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3.35 Fair 4.64
Sep 13, 2022 @STL 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.15 Fair 3.72
Sep 9, 2022 CIN 1.2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3.75 Good 3.91
Sep 3, 2021 STL 0.2 4 4 4 2 0 0 3.02 Fair 0.12
Sep 1, 2021 @SF 1.0 3 2 2 0 1 1 3.05 Fair 1.94
Aug 14, 2021 @PIT 0.2 5 5 5 0 0 0 2.19 Fair -0.80
Aug 12, 2021 @CHC 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.43 Fair 4.08