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Messick draws a Fair window, and his past results in this range have been underwhelming. With an Aligned profile, he’s likely to follow that same path.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 4.69 vs PIT
In a Fair performance window, Messick hasn’t delivered much in the past. His ordinary track record, combined with an Aligned profile, points to a weak end result.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 4.10 vs MIN
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18.1 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 11.3 | 1.96 | 0.93 | 0.182 | +25.58% |
| Good | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 53.2 | 42 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 19 | 47 | 7.9 | 2.18 | 1.14 | 0.216 | +3.28% |
| Fair | 13 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 74.2 | 72 | 28 | 27 | 8 | 15 | 72 | 8.7 | 3.25 | 1.17 | 0.254 | -6.70% |
| Suboptimal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10.8 | 3.60 | 1.40 | 0.222 | -19.16% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 111.3 | 84 | 36 | 34 | 10 | 36 | 110 | 8.8 | 2.73 | 1.07 | 0.209 | 4.23 |
| 2025 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 39.2 | 46 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 8.6 | 2.72 | 1.31 | 0.289 | 4.15 |
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | Composite Score | Output Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | @MIA | W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | Good | 3.74 | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | CWS | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | Good | 3.26 | ||
| Jun 29, 2026 | TEX | L | 6.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Good | 2.02 | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | @CWS | L | 7.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | Excellent | 5.84 | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | @MIL | W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | Good | 5.06 | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | NYY | L | 5.2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 1.15 | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | @TEX | L | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 2.53 | |
| May 30, 2026 | BOS | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 3.83 | ||
| May 24, 2026 | @PHI | W | 5.2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 6.04 | |
| May 19, 2026 | @DET | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | Suboptimal | 3.40 | ||
| May 13, 2026 | LAA | W | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | Good | 4.59 | |
| May 8, 2026 | MIN | W | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Excellent | 5.44 | |
| May 3, 2026 | @ATH | L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 2.27 | |
| Apr 27, 2026 | TB | 5.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | Good | 5.74 | ||
| Apr 21, 2026 | HOU | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 2.27 | ||
| Apr 16, 2026 | BAL | W | 8.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | Fair | 6.06 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ATL | W | 6.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 6.09 | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | CHC | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | Excellent | 4.57 | ||
| Mar 30, 2026 | @LAD | W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 6.42 | |
| Sep 25, 2025 | DET | L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 2.27 | |
| Sep 19, 2025 | @MIN | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Fair | 4.78 | ||
| Sep 13, 2025 | CWS | W | 6.0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 4.61 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @TB | W | 6.0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Good | 4.76 | |
| Sep 1, 2025 | @BOS | 3.2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | 0.78 | ||
| Aug 26, 2025 | TB | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 7.09 | |
| Aug 20, 2025 | @AZ | 6.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 4.74 |
Messick draws a Fair window, and his past results in this range have been ordinary. With an Aligned profile, he’s likely to follow that same path.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 4.50 vs PIT