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He can get through turns effectively, but the potential, even in a Good window, hasn’t translated into meaningful fantasy impact.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 2.27 @ COL
There’s some stability in his output, yet his Good-tier starts haven’t historically delivered roster-worthy fantasy value.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.31 @ SEA
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4.5 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 0.179 | +47.32% |
| Good | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 42.2 | 52 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 5.7 | 3.80 | 1.62 | 0.294 | +1.30% |
| Fair | 11 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 50.2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 8 | 24 | 51 | 9.1 | 4.09 | 1.38 | 0.236 | +11.18% |
| Suboptimal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6.7 | 54.00 | 6.75 | 0.556 | -229.31% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 72.0 | 83 | 47 | 46 | 9 | 35 | 61 | 7.6 | 5.75 | 1.64 | 0.281 | 2.30 |
| 2024 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30.2 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 6.5 | 1.17 | 1.27 | 0.219 | 4.28 |
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | Composite Score | Output Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | @COL | L | 2.1 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | -3.01 | |
| Jul 12, 2026 | CHC | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Excellent | 3.98 | ||
| Jul 8, 2026 | PHI | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 3.54 | ||
| Jul 4, 2026 | BAL | 3.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Good | 3.30 | ||
| Jun 30, 2026 | @MIL | L | 4.2 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Good | 0.16 | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MIL | L | 5.2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 2.67 | |
| Jun 19, 2026 | @NYY | L | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | Fair | 1.23 | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | AZ | 5.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 4.55 | ||
| Jun 7, 2026 | @STL | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | Fair | 4.03 | ||
| May 7, 2026 | @CHC | L | 3.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | Fair | 0.94 | |
| May 2, 2026 | @PIT | L | 1.1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | Suboptimal | -3.64 | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | DET | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 3.98 | ||
| Apr 20, 2026 | @TB | W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Excellent | 4.32 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | SF | W | 6.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 3.29 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @MIA | L | 5.1 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 0.42 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @TEX | W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 5.81 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | BOS | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 3.54 | ||
| Sep 28, 2024 | @CHC | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Good | 3.83 | ||
| Sep 21, 2024 | PIT | W | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 5.31 | |
| Sep 15, 2024 | @MIN | L | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 2.61 | |
| Sep 10, 2024 | @STL | W | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Good | 5.61 | |
| Sep 5, 2024 | HOU | 6.1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | Good | 4.24 | ||
| Aug 30, 2024 | MIL | L | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | Fair | 4.08 |
This rating range conveys a consistent and steady performance outlook. Rhett Lowder's Aligned profile enhances that stability, making it more likely his performances reflect the conditions of his current phase.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.47 @ COL