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While Watson grades out in the Good range, his performance in these settings, has been uneven at best. The track record leans toward ineffective outings. A Variable profile brings added doubt in how the outcomes will land. That makes it likely to just scratch him.
On paper, a Good window looks playable for Watson, but his past says otherwise. These settings have often led to disappointing outcomes. Add in the variability from a Variable profile, and the floor gets shaky. Thatβs enough reason to avoid.
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5.4 | 3.60 | 1.60 | 0.222 | -6.53% |
| Good | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32.0 | 37 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 8.2 | 4.50 | 1.47 | 0.285 | -3.69% |
| Fair | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33.0 | 26 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 9.0 | 3.82 | 1.06 | 0.211 | +3.36% |
| Suboptimal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.167 | +15.17% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 72.0 | 68 | 33 | 32 | 8 | 23 | 65 | 8.1 | 4.00 | 1.26 | 0.245 | 3.73 |
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite
Score |
Output
Level |
TriSync
Projection |
Game
Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | @SEA | SV | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 5.26 | ||
| Sep 19, 2026 | MIN | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Good | 3.35 | |||
| Sep 15, 2026 | SEA | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Suboptimal | 4.52 | ||
| Sep 14, 2026 | SEA | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.73 | |||
| Sep 11, 2026 | @WSH | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Excellent | 4.66 | |||
| Sep 9, 2026 | @BOS | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Excellent | 3.86 | |||
| Sep 8, 2026 | @BOS | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.24 | |||
| Sep 5, 2026 | @PIT | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 4.08 | |||
| Sep 2, 2026 | NYY | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.22 | |||
| Aug 28, 2026 | PHI | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 4.30 | |||
| Aug 26, 2026 | CLE | L | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Excellent | 1.67 | ||
| Aug 25, 2026 | CLE | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 3.21 | |||
| Aug 22, 2026 | @TEX | SV | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.96 | ||
| Aug 21, 2026 | @TEX | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Good | 4.52 | |||
| Aug 18, 2026 | @HOU | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.30 | |||
| Aug 14, 2026 | KC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.66 | |||
| Aug 12, 2026 | TEX | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.30 | |||
| Aug 9, 2026 | @MIA | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 3.79 | |||
| Jul 28, 2026 | @ATH | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 2.92 | |||
| Jul 26, 2026 | TOR | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 3.26 | |||
| Jul 22, 2026 | BAL | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 3.93 | |||
| Jul 19, 2026 | TB | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 4.22 | |||
| Jul 18, 2026 | TB | W | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.42 | ||
| Jul 7, 2026 | @CWS | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.66 | |||
| Jul 1, 2026 | WSH | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 2.97 | |||
| Jun 26, 2026 | NYY | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 3.93 | |||
| Jun 21, 2026 | @SEA | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.66 | |||
| Jun 16, 2026 | TOR | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good | 2.41 | |||
| Jun 14, 2026 | TEX | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.42 | |||
| Jun 10, 2026 | @TB | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 2.97 | |||
| Jun 3, 2026 | BAL | SV | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 3.88 | ||
| May 28, 2026 | ATL | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 2.36 | |||
| May 27, 2026 | ATL | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 4.12 | |||
| May 24, 2026 | MIN | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 3.93 | |||
| May 23, 2026 | MIN | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 5.01 | |||
| May 17, 2026 | @ATL | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 3.88 | |||
| May 14, 2026 | PHI | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.66 | |||
| May 7, 2026 | TB | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 1.48 | |||
| May 2, 2026 | HOU | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Good | 4.03 | |||
| Apr 28, 2026 | @TOR | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.35 | |||
| Apr 24, 2026 | @BAL | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 3.40 | |||
| Apr 23, 2026 | NYY | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.59 | |||
| Apr 20, 2026 | DET | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 1.05 | |||
| Apr 19, 2026 | DET | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 3.79 | |||
| Apr 15, 2026 | @MIN | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Good | 0.05 | |||
| Apr 13, 2026 | @MIN | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 2.83 | |||
| Apr 11, 2026 | @STL | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 3.93 | |||
| Apr 8, 2026 | MIL | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 4.08 | |||
| Apr 6, 2026 | MIL | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 2.92 |
A Good window might suggest upside, but Watson hasnβt delivered in these situations. His past points more toward flat production than a breakout. The Variable profile adds another layer of volatility to his numbers. Lean toward deciding to bench him.